Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 2/6/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Thursday, February 6, 2025

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+126) Lightning (-152)

The Ottawa Senators (29-21-4) are hitting the road to Amalie Arena on Thursday where they will go up against the Tampa Bay Lightning (28-20-4). The moneyline on this game has the Senators at +126 while the Lightning open at -152. The over/under is set at 6.

The Ottawa Senators had a rough game after their 4-3 defeat to the Lightning in their previous game. Ottawa recorded 8 penalty minutes in this matchup. In addition, they had 2 chances with extra men on the ice and netted 1 goal. The Senators had a middle of the road offensive output in this defeat. For the game, they converted 3 out of the 28 shots they looked to score on.

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In the matter of their goal scoring prowess, the Ottawa Senators have earned 155 goals (16th in the league) over the course of the season and have conceded 145. For the season, they have recorded 62 points and their points percentage is sitting at .574. Ottawa has 178 power play chances and they have scored 42 goals during those advantages, garnering them a rate of 23.60%. When at even strength, the Senators have allowed the opponent to score 111 goals while having 113 on offense. Ottawa has taken 1,610 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 9.6%. The Senators have seen 1,487 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .902. Ottawa Senators opponents have tallied 157 power play tries (10th in hockey) and have come away with 34 goals in those attempts.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Linus Ullmark. Ullmark has played in 271 contests during his NHL career. He has amassed an overall record of 150-81-25 and he has started in 261 games. The opposition has been able to score 652 goals against Ullmark in his career and his goals against average per game is 2.73. Ullmark has had 7,970 shots against him and has amassed 7,318 total saves. His save percentage sits at .918 during his 14,344 mins played. In his professional hockey career, Ullmark has tallied 167 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .640.

The last time they were on the ice, Tampa Bay faced off against the Senators in a matchup where the Lightning got the victory by a tally of 4-3. The Lightning recorded 4 goals of the 38 shots on goal they tried. They had 4 power play attempts in this matchup and recorded 1 out of those chances.

The Lightning are sitting with 140 goals at even strength and 40 goals (5th in professional hockey) while on the power play. Tampa Bay has attempted 1,527 shots (15th in the league) and has earned a shooting percentage of 11.79%, while allowing their opponents 1,478 shots. So far this year, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a total of 180 goals, 60 points, and a points percentage of .577. They have permitted 145 goals to be scored by of a combination of 120 goals at even strength and 25 goals while they were shorthanded. They have earned 152 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 26.32%. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 81.20% on the other teams 133 power play chances, and their save percentage sits at 90.2%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy between the pipes. Vasilevskiy has a career mark of 315-158-33 and has been in goal for 517 games. Vasilevskiy's percentage of quality starts comes out to 57.2% and he has earned 290 quality starts in his pro hockey career. He has recorded 14,196 stops out of 15,486 shots attempted, which gives him a save percentage of .917. Opponents are averaging 2.75 goals per game and he has relinquished 1,290 goals overall. He has been a starter 507 games and has played for a total of 28,146 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Ottawa (+126)

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