Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 3/11/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (-150) Flyers (+125)

The Ottawa Senators (32-25-5) are en route to Wells Fargo Center on Tuesday where they will compete against the Philadelphia Flyers (27-30-8). The moneyline on this matchup has the Senators at -150 while the Flyers are coming in at +125. The total comes in at 6.

The Ottawa Senators will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 4-3 victory against the Rangers in the last game they played. Ottawa garnered 4 penalty minutes in this game. The Senators had a good offensive outing and it showed in this win. Furthermore, they had 5 power play opportunities but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. In the matchup, they scored on 4 of the 37 shots they attempted.

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Ottawa Senators opponents have amassed 182 power play opportunities (15th in professional hockey) and have scored 42 goals in those attempts. The Senators so far have had 1,751 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .899. Ottawa has taken 1,848 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 9.6%. At even strength, the Senators let the opposition score 135 goals while getting 130 as an offensive unit. Ottawa has accumulated 206 power play opportunities and they have tallied 47 goals out of those advantages, giving them a rate of 22.82%. For the season, the have a total of 69 points and their points % is .556. With respect to scoring goals, the Ottawa Senators have accounted for 177 goals (23rd in the NHL) this year and have surrendered 177.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Anton Forsberg. Over the course of his time in hockey, Forsberg has earned 85 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .509. His save percentage is at .904 during his 8,462 mins guarding the cage. Forsberg has had 5,120 shots taken against him and he has 4,628 total saves. The opposition has racked up 492 goals versus Forsberg in his NHL career and his average for goals against per game is 3.49. He has a mark of 71-79-12 and he has started in 167 games. Forsberg has played in 182 contests over the course of his hockey career.

When they were on the ice last, Philadelphia played the Devils in an outing where the Flyers ended up taking the loss by a final of 3-1. The Flyers scored 1 goal out of the 24 shots on goal they attempted. They had 1 power play chance in this outing but weren't able to put one in the back of the net.

On the season, the Philadelphia Flyers have 182 goals, 62 points, in addition to a points percentage of .477. They have allowed 216 goals to be scored by of a combination of 181 goals at even strength and 35 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Flyers have 156 goals at even strength and 26 goals (29th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have a total of 171 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 15.20%. Philadelphia has taken 1,772 shots (20th in professional hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 10.27%, while allowing the other team 1,754 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 77.85% on their opponents 158 power play tries, and their save percentage sits at 87.7%.

Across the ice you will find Samuel Ersson protecting the goal. Ersson has compiled a career mark of 47-34-11 and has participated in 100 games. Ersson's rate of quality starts is 51.6% and he has 49 quality starts in his NHL career. He has accrued 2,165 saves out of 2,430 shots attempted, giving him a percentage of .891. His opponents are averaging 4.49 goals/game and he has surrendered 265 goals overall. He has started in 95 contests and has been on the ice for 3,538 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Ottawa (-150)

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