New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 3/29/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Islanders (+220) Lightning (-275)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (41-25-5) are hosting the New York Islanders (32-29-10) at Amalie Arena on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Islanders at +220 while the Lightning are at -275. The over/under has been set at 6.5.

The New York Islanders will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 5-2 loss against the Canucks in their previous outing. The Islanders offense left a lot to be desired in the loss. For the game, they converted 2 of the 28 shots they attempted. Furthermore, they had 2 attempts on the power play but weren't able to score. New York amassed 4 penalty minutes in this contest.

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New York Islanders opponents have tallied 155 power play opportunities (31st in pro hockey) and have come away with 43 goals in those chances. The Islanders thus far have had 2,048 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .896. New York has taken 2,070 shots and has a shooting percentage of 9.3%. While playing at even strength, the Islanders have conceded 169 goals while notching 172 on offense. New York has accumulated 175 power play opportunities and they have notched 21 goals out of those attempts, giving them a percentage of 12.00%. For the season, they have recorded 74 points and their points % is .521. In terms of their scoring, the New York Islanders have notched 193 goals (27th in the league) for the season and have given up 212.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Ilya Sorokin. Sorokin has been in net for 246 games over the course of his pro hockey career. He has a record of 122-86-36 and he started in 241 games. The opposition has scored 619 goals against Sorokin in his pro hockey career and his goals against rate is 3.26. Sorokin has seen 7,375 shot attempts taken against him and he has 6,756 saves. His save percentage currently sits at .916 during his 11,386 minutes played. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Sorokin has tallied 160 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .664.

When they took the ice last, Tampa Bay played the Penguins in a matchup where the Lightning ended up with the win by a mark of 6-1. They had 4 opportunities on the power play in this outing and netted 1 out of those tries. The Lightning converted 6 goals of the 27 shots on goal they tried.

The Lightning have racked up 197 goals at even strength and 52 goals (6th in professional hockey) while on the power play. Tampa Bay has attempted 2,054 shots (9th in the NHL) and has a shooting percentage of 12.12%, while allowing the other team 1,995 shots. So far this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have tallied 249 goals, 87 points, as well as a points percentage of .613. They have granted a total of 190 goals to be scored by of a combination of 158 goals at even strength and 32 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have recorded 202 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 25.74%. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 82.12% on their opponents 179 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.5%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy protecting the goal. He has accounted for 14,592 saves out of 15,914 shots taken, which gives him a percentage of .917. Vasilevskiy is the owner of a career mark of 327-162-33 and has participated in 533 games. He has made the start in 523 games and has been on the ice for 28,186 mins. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage sits at 57.6% and he has 301 quality starting assignments in his pro career. His opponents are averaging 2.81 goals per contest and he has relinquished 1,322 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-275)

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