Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 4/11/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Friday, April 11, 2025

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN

Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (+172) Senators (-210)

The Ottawa Senators (42-30-6) will go up against the Montreal Canadiens (39-30-9) at Canadian Tire Centre on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has the Canadiens at +172 while the Senators are opening at -210. The over/under is 6.

The Montreal Canadiens came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 4-1 win against the Red Wings in their previous outing. The Canadiens had a solid offensive performance in this victory. In the matchup, they netted 4 out of the 21 shots they put on net. Furthermore, they had 2 power play chances but weren't able to score. Montreal had 6 mins in the box for this matchup.

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While playing at even strength, the Canadiens have conceded 203 goals while notching 188 themselves. Montreal Canadiens opponents have recorded 246 power play opportunities (1st in hockey) and have come away with 47 goals in those attempts. Regarding their scoring, the Montreal Canadiens have accumulated 234 goals (15th in the league) for the year and have given up 250. Montreal has tried 2,015 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.6%. For the season, the have a total of 87 points and their points percentage is sitting at .558. The Canadiens have had 2,260 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .889. Montreal comes into tonight with 223 power play chances and they have scored 46 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a rate of 20.63%.

The player between the pipes for this game is Sam Montembeault. The opposition has scored 608 goals against Montembeault in his NHL career and his goals against average is 4.48. Montembeault has participated in 203 games during his hockey career. He has a save percentage of .899 during his 8,137 minutes played. He has compiled a record of 79-83-27 and he has started in 185 games. For his career, Montembeault has accounted for 98 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .530. Montembeault has had 6,006 shots taken against him and has recorded 5,398 saves.

In their last game, Ottawa went up against the Blue Jackets in an outing where the Senators took the defeat by a final of 5-2. The Senators recorded 2 goals of the 35 shots on goal they tried. They had 4 power play chances in this contest and recorded 1 out of those chances.

The Senators have 165 goals at even strength and 58 goals (4th in the league) while on the power play. Ottawa has taken 2,275 shots (8th in professional hockey) and has a shot percentage of 9.80%, while allowing the opposition 2,243 shots. So far this season, the Ottawa Senators are sitting with 223 goals, 90 points, as well as a points percentage of .577. They have allowed 218 goals to be scored by of a combination of 169 goals at even strength and 49 goals while they were shorthanded. They have earned 251 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 23.11%. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 77.63% on the other teams 219 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 90.3%.

For the opposition you will find Linus Ullmark in goal. He has compiled 7,802 stops out of 8,505 shots taken, giving him a percentage of .917. Ullmark has earned a career record of 161-87-26 and has played in 289 contests. He has been a starter 279 contests and has been on the ice for 14,386 mins. Ullmark's percentage of quality starts is 63.8% and he has made 178 quality starts in his NHL career. His opponents are averaging 2.93 goals per contest and he has conceded 703 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Montreal (+172)

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