Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 4/11/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Friday, April 11, 2025

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Red Wings (+125) Lightning (-145)

The Detroit Red Wings (36-34-7) are en route to Amalie Arena on Friday where they will attempt to beat the Tampa Bay Lightning (45-26-7). The odds on this game have Detroit at +125 and Tampa Bay is priced at -145. The over/under has been set at 6.5.

The Detroit Red Wings will need a bounce back game after taking a 4-1 defeat to the Canadiens in their previous game. The Red Wings had a below average offensive performance in this loss. For the matchup, they were able to notch a goal on 1 of the 36 shots they tried. In addition, they had 3 power play tries but didn't net one. Detroit amassed 4 penalty minutes in this matchup.

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Detroit Red Wings opponents have 176 power play opportunities (30th in the NHL) and have tallied 53 goals in those chances. The Red Wings have seen 2,205 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .890. Detroit has taken 2,102 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 10.3%. While playing at even strength, the Red Wings have conceded 189 goals while earning 154 when they are on offense. Detroit has accumulated 225 power play opportunities and they have added 62 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a percentage of 27.56%. For the current season, they have accumulated 79 points and their points percentage sits at .513. In the matter of their scoring capabilities, the Detroit Red Wings have earned 216 goals (25th in the NHL) over the course of the season and have surrendered 242.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Alex Lyon. Lyon has been involved in 111 contests over the course of his NHL career. He has earned an overall mark of 49-38-11 and he has started in 98 games. The opposition has notched 298 goals versus Lyon in his pro career and his goals against rate is 3.90. Lyon has seen 3,036 shots against him and he has 2,738 total saves. His save percentage currently sits at .902 during his 4,584 mins in the crease. Over the course of his pro career, Lyon has accrued 50 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .510.

Their last time out, Tampa Bay went up against the Maple Leafs in a game where the Lightning ended up taking the loss by a score of 4-3. They had 4 opportunities on the power play in this contest and notched 2 out of those opportunities. The Lightning netted 3 goals of the 28 shots on goal they were seeking.

This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 277 goals, 97 points, and a points percentage of .622. They have granted a total of 203 goals to be scored by way of 166 goals at even strength and 37 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Lightning have 219 goals at even strength and 58 goals (3rd in the league) while having more men on the ice. They have earned 222 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 26.13%. Tampa Bay has tried 2,231 shots (13th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 12.42%, while allowing the opposition 2,214 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 81.31% on their oppositions 198 power play tries, and their save percentage sits at 90.8%.

For the opposition you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy protecting the goal. Opponents are averaging 2.83 goals/game and he has surrendered 1,330 goals altogether. Vasilevskiy's quality start rate comes out to 57.8% and he has made 305 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has started in 528 games and has played for a total of 28,199 mins. Vasilevskiy has a lifetime record of 330-163-34 and has participated in 538 games. He has accrued 14,727 stops out of the 16,057 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save percentage of .917.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-145)

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