Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Prediction, 4/6/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild

Date: Sunday, April 6, 2025

Location: Xcel Energy Center in Saint Paul, MN

TV: Fanduel Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (-210) Wild (+172)

Xcel Energy Center is where the Minnesota Wild (41-28-7) will try to defeat the Dallas Stars (50-21-4) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Stars at -210 and the Wild open at +172. The over/under is set at 6.

The Dallas Stars were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 5-1 victory over the Predators their last time on the ice. The Stars had a good offensive performance and it was apparent in this win. For the game, they tallied a score on 5 out of the 27 shots they tried. They also had 4 power play attempts but didn't convert them into a score. Dallas earned 6 penalty mins for this matchup.

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Dallas Stars opponents have amassed 205 power play opportunities (19th in professional hockey) and have come away with 31 goals in those attempts. The Stars have had 2,129 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .912. Dallas has tried 2,141 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 12.0%. At even strength, the Stars let the opposition score 157 goals while having 207 as an offensive unit. Dallas skates onto the rink with 226 power play opportunities and they have added 50 goals out of those attempts, earning them a percentage of 22.12%. For the season, they have earned 104 points and their points percentage is sitting at .693. When talking about their goal scoring prowess, the Dallas Stars have racked up 257 goals (5th in the NHL) for the season and have surrendered 188.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Casey DeSmith. Over the course of his pro career, DeSmith has compiled 90 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .552. He has a save percentage of .911 for his 8,977 minutes played. DeSmith has had 5,273 shots taken against him and has gathered 4,803 total saves. The opposition has racked up 470 goals versus DeSmith in his professional hockey career and his goals against rate is 3.14. He has compiled an overall mark of 84-59-22 and he was named the starter in 163 games. DeSmith has participated in 186 games throughout his NHL career.

When they took the ice last, Minnesota squared up with the Rangers in a matchup where the Wild were on the wrong end of the score by a mark of 5-4. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this one and notched 1 out of those chances. The Wild earned 4 goals of the 24 shots on goal they attempted.

For the year, the Minnesota Wild are sitting with 205 goals, 89 points, and a points percentage of .586. They have granted a total of 216 goals to be scored by way of 163 goals at even strength and 53 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Wild are sitting with 166 goals at even strength and 39 goals (22nd in hockey) while on the power play. They have earned 190 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 20.53%. Minnesota has taken 2,059 shots (24th in professional hockey) and has a shot percentage of 9.96%, while allowing their opponents 2,269 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 72.25% on their opponents 191 chances on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 90.5%.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Filip Gustavsson defending the goal. Teams are averaging 3.90 goals/game and he has conceded 422 goals in total. Gustavsson's quality start percentage is 61.5% and he has accumulated 96 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He got the starting nod in 156 contests and his ice time sits at 6,487 mins. Gustavsson has accumulated a career mark of 81-57-20 and has played in 164 games. He has a tally of 4,435 saves out of the 4,857 shots taken against him, giving him a save percentage of .913.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Minnesota (+172)

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