Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, 4/26/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+150) Avalanche (-175)

Down 1 - 2 in the series, the Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4) will compete against the Dallas Stars (50-26-6) at Ball Arena on Saturday in Game 4 of the Western Conference first round. The moneyline on this contest has Dallas at +150 and Colorado is at -175. The over/under comes in at 6.5.

The Dallas Stars came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 2-1 victory against the Avalanche in Game 3. The Stars had a rough night on the offensive side of the ice in this win. In the game, they tallied a score on 2 of the 28 shots they tried. Moreover, they had 3 power play chances and were able to score 1 goal. Dallas accrued 12 penalty minutes for this matchup.

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When discussing their scoring capabilities, the Dallas Stars have accumulated 275 goals (4th in the National Hockey League) on the campaign and have conceded 222. For the season, they sit with 106 points and their points percentage comes in at .646. Dallas comes into tonight with 250 power play opportunities and they have notched 55 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a rate of 22.00%. When at even strength, the Stars have allowed the opponent to score 181 goals while scoring 220 themselves. Dallas has tried 2,325 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 11.8%. The Stars so far have had 2,382 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .907. Dallas Stars opponents have earned 228 power play tries (15th in hockey) and have a total of 41 goals in those attempts.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Jake Oettinger. The opposition has been able to score 608 goals versus Oettinger in his pro career and his goals against rate is 3.26. Oettinger has played in 251 contests during his hockey career. His save percentage currently sits at .912 in his 11,183 mins guarding the cage. He has amassed an overall record of 149-66-27 and he was named the starter in 242 games. Over the course of his career, Oettinger has accounted for 142 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .587. Oettinger has seen 6,904 shot attempts against him and has recorded 6,296 saves.

In Game 3, Colorado had 6 power play opportunities in this matchup but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. The Avalanche netted 1 goal of the 28 shots on goal they attempted.

Over the course of the season, the Colorado Avalanche have earned a total of 273 goals, 102 points, and a points percentage of .622. They have allowed 231 goals to be scored by way of 189 goals at even strength and 42 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Avalanche have earned 215 goals at even strength and 58 goals (6th in the NHL) while on the power play. They have a tally of 234 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 24.79%. Colorado has taken 2,451 shots (5th in professional hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.14%, while allowing their opponents 2,126 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 79.81% on their oppositions 208 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is currently 89.1%.

Across the ice you are likely to see Mackenzie Blackwood in the crease. Blackwood has accrued a career record of 103-103-28 and has been in goal for 252 contests. Blackwood's quality start percentage sits at 55.7% and he has earned 132 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has compiled 6,727 stops out of the 7,428 shots taken, giving him a percentage of .906. Teams are averaging 3.78 goals per game and he has allowed 701 goals overall. He was named a starter in 237 games and has played for a total of 11,134 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Colorado (-175) and under 6.5 goals

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