Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 4/28/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars

Date: Monday, April 28, 2025

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (-140) Stars (+120)

The Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4) are headed to American Airlines Center on Monday where they will take on the Dallas Stars (50-26-6) in Game 5 of the Western Conference first round. The series is tied 2-2. The odds on this game have Colorado at -140 and Dallas is coming in at +120. The over/under has been set at 6.

The Colorado Avalanche had a rough game after their 2-1 loss to the Stars in Game 4. Colorado compiled 6 penalty minutes in this game. The Avalanche offense left a lot to be desired in this defeat. They also had 6 chances on the power play but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. For the matchup, they converted 1 out of the 28 shots they put on net.

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Colorado Avalanche opponents have tallied 208 power play opportunities (22nd in hockey) and have tallied 42 goals in those attempts. The Avalanche have had 2,126 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .891. Colorado has taken 2,451 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 11.1%. While at even strength, the Avalanche have allowed the opponent to score 189 goals while having 215 on the offensive side of the ice. Colorado has 234 power play opportunities and they have notched 58 goals during those advantages, giving them a percentage of 24.79%. For the season, they have recorded 102 points and their points percentage is .622. Regarding scoring goals, the Colorado Avalanche have notched 273 goals (6th in the NHL) on the season and have surrendered 231.

The man in goal for this game is Mackenzie Blackwood. Blackwood has been involved in 252 games during his professional hockey career. He has compiled a win-loss mark of 103-103-28 and he has gotten the start in 237 games. Opponents have been able to score 701 goals versus Blackwood in his professional career and his average for goals against per game is 3.78. Blackwood has had 7,428 shots against him and has recorded 6,727 total saves. His save percentage is .906 for his 11,134 mins in the crease. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Blackwood has earned 132 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .557.

In Game 4, They had 3 power play attempts in this game and netted 1 out of those chances. the Stars tallied 2 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they took.

On the season, the Dallas Stars have accounted for 275 goals, 106 points, and a points percentage of .646. They have granted a total of 222 goals to be scored by of a combination of 181 goals at even strength and 41 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Stars are sitting with 220 goals at even strength and 55 goals (10th in the league) while having more men on the ice. They have earned 250 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 22.00%. Dallas has attempted 2,325 shots (14th in professional hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 11.83%, while allowing their opponents 2,382 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 82.02% on their opponents 228 tries on the power play, and their save percentage is 90.7%.

Across the rink you will find Jake Oettinger protecting the goal. The opposition is averaging 3.26 goals per game and he has allowed 608 goals altogether. Oettinger's rate of quality starts sits at 58.7% and he has accumulated 142 quality starting assignments in his pro hockey career. He has started in 242 contests and has racked up 11,183 mins. Oettinger has accumulated a lifetime record of 149-66-27 and has been in goal for 251 games. He is sitting with 6,296 stops out of 6,904 shots taken, which gives him a rate of .912.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas (+120)

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