Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction, 3/20/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals

Date: Wednesday, March 20, 2024

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

TV: Monumental Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-117) Capitals (-104)

The Washington Capitals (33-25-9) welcome the Toronto Maple Leafs (38-19-9) at Capital One Arena on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has Toronto at -117 while Washington is priced at -104. The over/under is 7.

The Toronto Maple Leafs had a decent effort after finishing in a 4-4 tie against the Hurricanes their last time on the ice. Toronto amassed 10 minutes in the box for this matchup. The Maple Leafs had a good offensive output in this game. Furthermore, they had 4 power play opportunities but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. In the game, they scored on 4 out of the 40 shots they put on net.

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In terms of their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have tallied 236 goals (4th in pro hockey) this year and have conceded 206. For the season, they have earned 85 points and their points percentage sits at .644. Toronto has tallied 188 power play opportunities and they have added 49 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 26.06%. When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have conceded 163 goals while having 187 as an offensive unit. Toronto has attempted 2,159 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 10.9%. The Maple Leafs thus far have had 1,970 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .895. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 185 power play tries (30th in hockey) and have scored 43 goals in those attempts.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Ilya Samsonov. Samsonov has played in 163 contests over the course of his NHL career. He has accumulated an overall mark of 97-37-20 and he has gotten the start in 151 games. Opponents have been able to score 418 goals versus Samsonov in his professional career and his goals against average per contest is 2.74. Samsonov has seen 4,365 shots taken against him and has amassed 3,947 saves. His save percentage is at .904 in his 9,168 minutes guarding the cage. During his career on the ice, Samsonov has recorded 75 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .497.

The last time they were on the ice, Washington faced the Flames in a game where the Capitals earned a win by a final of 5-2. The Capitals recorded 5 goals of the 33 shots on goal they attempted. They had 3 chances on the power play in this matchup and recorded 2 out of those opportunities.

On the season, the Washington Capitals have notched a total of 178 goals, 75 points, and a points percentage of .560. They have granted a total of 204 goals to be scored by way of 162 goals at even strength and 42 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Capitals are sitting with 140 goals at even strength and 38 goals (22nd in hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have earned 192 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 19.79%. Washington has taken 1,814 shots (31st in professional hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 9.81%, while allowing their opponents 2,043 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 79.41% on the other teams 204 power play chances, and their save percentage is 90.0%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Charlie Lindgren protecting the net. He is sitting with 2,534 stops out of 2,786 shots taken, which gives him a save % of .910. Lindgren has accumulated a career record of 46-34-10 and has played in 96 games. He has made the start in 89 games and has been on the ice for 5,437 minutes. Lindgren's percentage of quality starts is 59.6% and he has qualified for 53 quality starts in his career. His opposition is averaging 2.78 goals per game and he has conceded 252 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (-117)

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