Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 4/17/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+104) Lightning (-125)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (46-24-10) are en route to Amalie Arena on Wednesday where they will go up against the Tampa Bay Lightning (44-29-8). The moneyline on this game has Toronto at +104 while Tampa Bay is sitting at -125. The betting total comes in at 7.

The Toronto Maple Leafs will look for better times on the ice after their 5-4 defeat against the Red Wings in their previous contest . Toronto accounted for 6 penalty minutes in this matchup. Additionally, they had 4 power play opportunities and were able to score 2 goals. The Maple Leafs played really well in this loss. In the outing, they tallied a score on 4 of the 36 shots they put on goal.

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When discussing their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 292 goals (3rd in the league) on the campaign and have conceded 250. For the year, they have accumulated 102 points and their points % is .638. Toronto has accounted for 230 power play chances and they have scored 56 goals out of those chances, earning them a percentage of 24.35%. When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 196 goals while getting 236 themselves. Toronto has taken 2,607 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 11.2%. The Maple Leafs have seen 2,372 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .895. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 228 power play opportunities (26th in hockey) and have come away with 54 goals in those chances.

The man in goal for this game is Martin Jones. For his professional hockey career, Jones has earned 231 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .517. His save percentage sits at .905 in his 26,432 mins on the ice. Jones has had 12,611 shot attempts taken against him and he has 11,418 total saves. Opponents have been able to score 1,193 goals against Jones in his career and his average for goals against per game is 2.71. He has amassed an overall mark of 236-170-36 and he started in 447 games. Jones has played in 465 games over the course of his pro hockey career.

The last time they were on the ice, Tampa Bay faced the Sabres in a game where the Lightning ended up taking the loss by a mark of 4-2. The Lightning converted 2 goals of the 33 shots on goal they tried. They had 2 power play attempts in this one but didn't score a goal.

On the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 282 goals, 96 points, in addition to a points percentage of .593. They have permitted 263 goals to be scored by way of 224 goals at even strength and 39 goals while they were shorthanded. The Lightning are sitting with 212 goals at even strength and 70 goals (1st in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have recorded 244 chances on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 28.69%. Tampa Bay has put up 2,369 shots (21st in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 11.90%, while allowing their opponents 2,392 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 83.12% on their opponents 231 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 89.0%.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Matt Tomkins in net. Tomkins is sitting with a career mark of 2-2-1 and has been in goal for 5 games. Tomkins' rate of quality starts is 20.0% and he has accumulated 1 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has recorded 131 stops out of 147 shots taken against him, which gives him a save % of .891. Teams are averaging 3.19 goals per game and he has given up 16 goals altogether. He got the starting nod in 5 contests and has played 301 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-125)

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