Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 11/30/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Saturday, November 30, 2024

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-145) Lightning (+125)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (13-6-2) are headed to Amalie Arena on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Tampa Bay Lightning (11-7-2). The line on this contest has Toronto at -145 and Tampa Bay opens at +125. The total has been set at 6.5.

The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 3-2 win against the Hockey Club their last time on the ice. Toronto tallied 4 minutes in the box in this game. In addition, they had 6 power play opportunities and were able to notch 1 goal. The Maple Leafs were neither impressive or disappointing offensively in the victory. In the outing, they were able to notch a goal on 3 of the 35 shots they attempted.

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In regard to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 64 goals (16th in the National Hockey League) over the course of the season and have conceded 52. For the season, they have accumulated 28 points and their points percentage sits at .667. Toronto comes into tonight with 71 power play chances and they have added 14 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 19.72%. When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have conceded 40 goals while earning 50 themselves. Toronto has attempted 634 shots and has a shot percentage of 10.1%. The Maple Leafs have had 601 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .913. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 73 power play opportunities (7th in hockey) and have scored 12 goals in those attempts.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Anthony Stolarz. Over the course of his career, Stolarz has 58 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .611. His save percentage is .916 for his 5,630 mins guarding the cage. Stolarz has had 3,294 shot attempts against him and has amassed 3,017 saves. Opponents have tallied 277 goals versus Stolarz in his pro career and his average for goals against per game is 2.95. He has compiled an overall record of 50-34-11 and got the start in 95 games. Stolarz has been in goal for 120 contests during his hockey career.

Their last time out, Tampa Bay played the Avalanche in a game where the Lightning earned a victory by a final of 8-2. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this matchup and notched 2 out of those chances. The Lightning netted 8 goals out of the 33 shots on goal they took.

The Lightning have 62 goals at even strength and 14 goals (12th in professional hockey) while having more men on the ice. Tampa Bay has attempted 558 shots (27th in hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 13.62%, while allowing the other team 565 shots. So far this year, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accumulated 76 goals, 24 points, and a points percentage of .600. They have allowed 60 goals to be scored by way of 46 goals at even strength and 14 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have a total of 61 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 22.95%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 77.42% on the other teams 62 power play chances, and their save percentage is currently 89.4%.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Jonas Johansson defending the net. His opponents are averaging 3.68 goals per contest and he has allowed 200 goals altogether. Johansson's quality start rate sits at 40.0% and he has made 22 quality starts in his pro career. He was named a starter in 55 games and has accumulated 3,259 mins. Johansson has accumulated a career record of 24-21-10 and has been in goal for 65 games. He is sitting with 1,545 saves out of 1,745 shots tried, giving him a save % of .885.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (-145)

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