Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 3/19/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Tuesday, March 19, 2024

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-127) Flyers (+105)

Wells Fargo Center is the location where the Philadelphia Flyers (34-26-8) will play the Toronto Maple Leafs (38-19-9) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has the Maple Leafs at -127 and the Flyers are coming in at +105. The total is set at 7.

The Toronto Maple Leafs had a decent effort after finishing in a 4-4 tie against the Hurricanes their last time out. Toronto accounted for 10 penalty mins for this game. In addition, they had 4 power play chances but didn't net one. The Maple Leafs had a impressive offensive output in this game. For the matchup, they netted 4 of the 40 shots they tried.

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When talking about their scoring, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 236 goals (4th in hockey) this year and have conceded 206. For the season, they have tallied 85 points and their points percentage is sitting at .644. Toronto has accumulated 188 power play opportunities and they have scored 49 goals during those advantages, earning them a percentage of 26.06%. At even strength, the Maple Leafs have surrendered 163 goals while notching 187 themselves. Toronto has tried 2,159 shots and has a shot percentage of 10.9%. The Maple Leafs have had 1,970 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .895. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have tallied 185 power play opportunities (29th in the NHL) and have earned 43 goals in those chances.

The player in the crease for this game is Ilya Samsonov. Throughout his time in hockey, Samsonov has 75 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .497. His save percentage is .904 in his 9,168 mins in the crease. Samsonov has seen 4,365 shots against him and has recorded 3,947 total saves. Opponents have racked up 418 goals against Samsonov in his NHL career and his goals against average per contest is 2.74. He has earned a record of 97-37-20 and he started in 151 games. Samsonov has been involved in 163 contests throughout his NHL career.

In their last game, Philadelphia went up against the Bruins in a matchup where the Flyers ended up taking the loss by a score of 6-5. The Flyers scored 5 goals out of the 29 shots on goal they tried. They had 3 power play chances in this contest but didn't put one in the back of the net.

So far this year, the Philadelphia Flyers have notched a total of 198 goals, 76 points, and a points percentage of .559. They have granted a total of 205 goals to be scored by of a combination of 172 goals at even strength and 33 goals while they were shorthanded. The Flyers have earned 170 goals at even strength and 28 goals (31st in the league) while having a power play advantage. They have a tally of 215 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 13.02%. Philadelphia has taken 2,263 shots (2nd in the NHL) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 8.75%, while allowing their opponents 1,887 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 84.72% on their opponents 216 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently sits at 89.1%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Samuel Ersson patrolling the crease. Ersson has accumulated a career mark of 25-17-5 and has participated in 51 games. Ersson's quality start percentage sits at 57.4% and he has 27 quality starts in his career. He is sitting with 1,135 stops out of the 1,264 shots attempted, giving him a save % of .898. Opponents are averaging 2.76 goals/game and he has relinquished 129 goals altogether. He got the starting nod in 47 games and has racked up 2,805 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-127)

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