Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 3/14/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Thursday, March 14, 2024

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-136) Flyers (+112)

Wells Fargo Center is the location where the Philadelphia Flyers (34-24-8) will try to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs (37-19-8) on Thursday. The odds on this game have Toronto at -136 while Philadelphia is sitting at +112. The over/under comes in at 7.

The Toronto Maple Leafs had a good night with a 3-2 win over the Canadiens in their previous contest . Toronto recorded 10 minutes in the box in this outing. They also had 2 power play attempts but weren't able to score a goal. The Maple Leafs had a middle of the road offensive outing in the victory. For the game, they netted 3 of the 27 shots they tried.

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In relation to their scoring, the Toronto Maple Leafs have racked up 226 goals (4th in hockey) on the season and have conceded 200. For the season, they have earned 82 points and their points % is .641. Toronto comes into tonight with 180 power play chances and they have added 49 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a rate of 27.22%. At even strength, the Maple Leafs have surrendered 160 goals while earning 177 on offense. Toronto has taken 2,092 shots and holds a shot percentage of 10.8%. The Maple Leafs thus far have had 1,902 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .895. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have recorded 177 power play opportunities (29th in professional hockey) and have scored 40 goals in those chances.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Ilya Samsonov. Samsonov has participated in 161 matchups over the course of his NHL career. He has compiled an overall mark of 96-37-19 and he started in 149 games. Opponents have been able to score 412 goals versus Samsonov in his pro career and his goals against average per game is 2.73. Samsonov has had 4,297 shots against him and has gathered 3,885 total saves. His save percentage currently is .904 during his 9,043 mins between the pipes. During his career on the ice, Samsonov has recorded 74 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .497.

In their last contest, Philadelphia faced off against the Sharks in an outing where the Flyers earned a victory by a tally of 3-2. They had 4 power play opportunities in this one and tallied 1 out of those opportunities. The Flyers netted 3 goals of the 41 shots on goal they took.

Philadelphia has attempted 2,206 shots (2nd in the NHL) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 8.66%, while allowing the opposition 1,830 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 84.76% on their opponents 210 power play tries, and their save percentage currently sits at 89.5%. They have a total of 209 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 12.92%. The Flyers have earned 164 goals at even strength and 27 goals (31st in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have allowed 193 goals to be scored by of a combination of 161 goals at even strength and 32 goals while they had less men on the ice. For the season, the Philadelphia Flyers have tallied 191 goals, 76 points, in addition to a points percentage of .576.

For the opposition you are likely to see Samuel Ersson between the pipes. He has accounted for 1,126 saves out of the 1,252 shots taken against him, which gives him a save percentage of .899. Ersson has amassed a career mark of 25-16-5 and has participated in 50 games. He has made the start in 46 games and his ice time sits at 2,785 mins. Ersson's quality start percentage sits at 58.7% and he has 27 quality starts in his pro career. His opponents are averaging 2.71 goals per game and he has allowed 126 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+112)

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