Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 2/10/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Saturday, February 10, 2024

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-141) Senators (+117)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (26-15-8) are on their way to Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday where they will try to beat the Ottawa Senators (20-25-2). The line on this matchup has the Maple Leafs at -141 and the Senators are opening at +117. The betting total comes in at 7.

The Toronto Maple Leafs had a good night with a 5-4 victory over the Stars in their previous game. Toronto amassed 8 minutes in the box in this contest. Moreover, they had 3 power play opportunities and were able to notch 3 goals. The Maple Leafs had a solid offensive outing and it was apparent in the victory. While out there on the ice, they scored on 5 of the 31 shots they tried.

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At even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed 125 goals while notching 131 when they are on offense. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 139 power play tries (29th in hockey) and have notched 31 goals in those attempts. Regarding their scoring, the Toronto Maple Leafs have notched 169 goals (8th in hockey) so far this season and have surrendered 156. Toronto has taken 1,622 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 10.4%. For the season, they have accumulated 60 points and their points percentage is .612. The Maple Leafs have had 1,493 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .896. Toronto comes into the game with 143 power play opportunities and they have added 38 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 26.57%.

The player in the crease for this game is Ilya Samsonov. During his career on the ice, Samsonov has tallied 68 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .486. His save percentage currently is at .904 in his 8,494 minutes guarding the cage. Samsonov has had 4,052 shot attempts taken against him and has gathered 3,663 total saves. Opponents have been able to score 389 goals against Samsonov in his NHL career and his goals against average per contest is 2.75. He has earned a mark of 88-36-19 and was named the starter in 140 games. Samsonov has been involved in 152 matchups throughout his NHL career.

Their last time out, Ottawa faced off against the Red Wings in a matchup where the Senators earned a victory by a tally of 3-2. They had 3 opportunities on the power play in this outing but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. The Senators netted 3 goals of the 25 shots on goal they pursued.

So far this year, the Ottawa Senators have accounted for 157 goals, 42 points, as well as a points percentage of .447. They have allowed 170 goals to be scored by way of 131 goals at even strength and 39 goals while they were shorthanded. The Senators have 130 goals at even strength and 27 goals (22nd in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have recorded 172 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play rate of 15.70%. Ottawa has put up 1,536 shots (16th in the NHL) and has earned a shot percentage of 10.22%, while allowing the opposition 1,428 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 74.34% on the other teams 152 power play chances, and their save percentage currently comes in at 88.1%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Joonas Korpisalo defending the goal. Korpisalo has a career mark of 106-97-27 and has played in 254 games. Korpisalo's quality start percentage is 48.3% and he has earned 111 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has racked up 6,573 stops out of the 7,287 shots taken, which gives him a save % of .902. The opposition is averaging 3.06 goals per contest and he has conceded 714 goals altogether. He got the starting nod in 230 contests and has accumulated 14,003 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-141)

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