Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Prediction, 4/30/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins

Date: Tuesday, April 30, 2024

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+120) Bruins (-148)

TD Garden is where the Boston Bruins will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs on Tuesday in Game 5 of their 1st round series. The Bruins lead the series 3-1. The moneyline on this contest has the Maple Leafs at +120 while the Bruins are coming in at -148. The over/under is 7.

The Toronto Maple Leafs will look for better times on the ice after their 3-1 defeat against the Bruins in Game 4. Toronto accumulated 8 penalty minutes in this contest. Moreover, they had 3 power play opportunities but weren't able to net one. The Maple Leafs could have played much better offensively in this defeat. For the game, they scored on 1 of the 25 shots they put on goal.

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While playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed 206 goals while getting 241 of their own. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 238 power play tries (22nd in hockey) and have come away with 55 goals in those attempts. Regarding their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have tallied 298 goals (2nd in the National Hockey League) on the campaign and have surrendered 261. Toronto has taken 2,671 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.2%. For the current campaign, they have tallied 102 points and their points percentage sits at .622. The Maple Leafs have seen 2,446 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .893. Toronto has tallied 238 power play chances and they have scored 57 goals during those advantages, garnering them a rate of 23.95%.

The man in net for this game is Ilya Samsonov. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Samsonov has earned 79 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .497. He has a save percentage of .904 during his 9,642 minutes between the pipes. Samsonov has had 4,604 shots taken against him and has garnered 4,160 total saves. The opposition has notched 444 goals versus Samsonov in his career and his goals against average per game is 2.76. He has accumulated a mark of 102-39-21 and was named the starter in 159 games. Samsonov has been in net for 171 games during his NHL career.

In Game 4 the Bruins notched 3 goals out of the 22 shots on goal they attempted. They had 3 opportunities on the power play in this one and scored 1 out of those opportunities.

For the season, the Boston Bruins have a total of 263 goals, 109 points, in addition to a points percentage of .665. They have allowed 221 goals to be scored by of a combination of 174 goals at even strength and 47 goals while they were shorthanded. The Bruins have tallied 209 goals at even strength and 54 goals (14th in hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have a tally of 243 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play rate of 22.22%. Boston has taken 2,399 shots (22nd in the league) and has earned a shooting percentage of 10.96%, while allowing the other team 2,504 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 82.46% on the other teams 268 chances on the power play, and their save percentage is 91.2%.

On the other side of the ice you are expected to see Jeremy Swayman defending the goal. Swayman is sitting with a lifetime mark of 79-33-15 and has participated in 132 contests. Swayman's quality start rate is 64.8% and he has 81 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has gathered 3,327 saves out of 3,622 shots attempted, which gives him a rate of .919. The opposition is averaging 2.34 goals/game and he has given up 295 goals overall. He has started in 125 contests and his ice time sits at 7,571 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (+120)

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