Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Prediction, 3/7/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins

Date: Thursday, March 7, 2024

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+118) Bruins (-143)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (35-18-8) are en route to TD Garden on Thursday where they will try to beat the Boston Bruins (36-13-15). The moneyline on this game has Toronto at +118 and Boston is opening at -143. The total is 7.

The Toronto Maple Leafs will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 4-1 defeat against the Bruins their last time out. Toronto recorded 4 penalty minutes for this game. They also had 4 power play tries but didn't net one. The Maple Leafs offense left a lot to be desired in the loss. In the matchup, they were able to notch a goal on 1 of the 33 shots they tried.

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Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 166 power play tries (30th in pro hockey) and have a total of 37 goals in those chances. The Maple Leafs have seen 1,821 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .894. Toronto has taken 2,009 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.0%. While at even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 156 goals while earning 172 as an offensive unit. Toronto has tallied 173 power play opportunities and they have tallied 48 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 27.75%. For the year, the have a total of 78 points and their points % is .639. Concerning their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 220 goals (4th in the league) so far this season and have given up 193.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Ilya Samsonov. Opponents have tallied 409 goals against Samsonov in his pro career and his average for goals against per game is 2.75. Samsonov has played in 159 games throughout his NHL career. His save percentage currently is .904 during his 8,919 mins between the pipes. He has accumulated a mark of 94-37-19 and he started in 147 games. In his professional hockey career, Samsonov has accounted for 72 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .490. Samsonov has had 4,241 shots against him and has gathered 3,832 saves.

In their last contest, Boston faced off against the Oilers in a game where the Bruins went home in defeat by a mark of 2-1. They had 2 power play chances in this game but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. The Bruins converted 1 goal of the 26 shots on goal they attempted.

The Bruins have tallied 165 goals at even strength and 45 goals (11th in the league) while on the power play. Boston has put up 1,921 shots (14th in the NHL) and has a shot percentage of 10.93%, while allowing their opponents 2,010 shots. For the year, the Boston Bruins have accounted for 210 goals, 87 points, as well as a points percentage of .680. They have permitted 174 goals to be scored by way of 134 goals at even strength and 40 goals while they were shorthanded. They have a tally of 193 power play chances and they have earned a power play rate of 23.32%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 81.90% on the other teams 221 tries on the power play, and their save percentage currently comes in at 91.3%.

On the other side of the ice you are expected to see Jeremy Swayman in the crease. He has accrued 3,123 saves out of the 3,394 shots attempted against him, giving him a save percentage of .920. Swayman has a career record of 74-29-15 and has been in net for 123 games. He was named a starter in 116 games and has been on the ice for 7,031 minutes. Swayman's quality start percentage comes in at 66.4% and he has 77 quality starting assignments in his pro career. His opposition is averaging 2.31 goals per game and he has yielded 271 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (+118)

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