Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 4/3/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Wednesday, April 3, 2024

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-106) Maple Leafs (-115)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (41-26-7) are headed to Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs (43-22-9). The odds on this game have the Lightning at -106 and the Maple Leafs are priced at -115. The over/under is set at 7.

The Tampa Bay Lightning were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 4-2 defeat to the Red Wings in their previous outing. The Lightning had a below average offensive performance in the loss. For the game, they scored on 2 out of the 36 shots they put on goal. They also had 3 power play opportunities and were able to net 1 goal. Tampa Bay amassed 6 mins in the box in this matchup.

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Concerning scoring goals, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched 256 goals (6th in the league) so far this year and have given up 241. For the current campaign, they sit with 89 points and their points % is .601. Tampa Bay has tallied 222 power play chances and they have added 65 goals during those advantages, garnering them a rate of 29.28%. When at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 205 goals while having 191 on the offensive side of the ice. Tampa Bay has attempted 2,149 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.9%. The Lightning so far have had 2,178 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .889. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have 210 power play tries (26th in pro hockey) and have come away with 36 goals in those chances.

The man in net for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Over the course of his pro career, Vasilevskiy has tallied 263 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .569. His save percentage is at .917 in his 27,756 minutes guarding the cage. Vasilevskiy has had 14,234 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 13,051 total saves. Opponents have racked up 1,183 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his NHL career and his goals against average is 2.56. He has compiled a record of 291-140-30 and he was named the starter in 462 games. Vasilevskiy has participated in 472 matchups throughout his professional hockey career.

In their last outing, Toronto went up against the Panthers in an outing where the Maple Leafs took home the victory by a mark of 6-4. They had 3 power play attempts in this outing but weren't able to score a goal. The Maple Leafs scored 6 goals of the 23 shots on goal they attempted.

This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have tallied 270 goals, 95 points, as well as a points percentage of .642. They have allowed 229 goals to be scored by of a combination of 182 goals at even strength and 47 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Maple Leafs are sitting with 218 goals at even strength and 52 goals (11th in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have earned 213 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 24.41%. Toronto has attempted 2,418 shots (7th in the NHL) and has earned a shot percentage of 11.17%, while allowing their opponents 2,216 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 77.62% on the other teams 210 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 89.7%.

Across the rink you are going to see Ilya Samsonov between the pipes. He has tallied 4,064 saves out of 4,493 shots attempted against him, which gives him a percentage of .905. Samsonov has earned a lifetime record of 100-38-20 and has played in 167 games. He was named a starter in 155 games and has played for a total of 9,402 mins. Samsonov's rate of quality starts sits at 49.7% and he has qualified for 77 quality starts in his professional career. Opponents are averaging 2.74 goals/game and he has yielded 429 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-106)

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