Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 2/27/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Tuesday, February 27, 2024

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-122) Flyers (+102)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (32-23-5) are hitting the road to Wells Fargo Center on Tuesday where they will attempt to beat the Philadelphia Flyers (30-22-7). The moneyline on this contest has the Lightning at -122 while the Flyers are priced at +102. The over/under is 7.

The Tampa Bay Lightning came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 4-1 win over the Devils in their previous game. Tampa Bay tallied 8 minutes in the box in this matchup. In addition, they had 3 chances on the power play but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. The Lightning had a good offensive outing in the win. In the game, they scored on 4 of the 27 shots they put on net.

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When it comes to their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 204 goals (5th in the National Hockey League) so far this season and have surrendered 201. For the year, they have racked up 69 points and their points % is .575. Tampa Bay has 181 power play opportunities and they have scored 53 goals out of those advantages, giving them a rate of 29.28%. When at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 168 goals while earning 151 of their own. Tampa Bay has attempted 1,783 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 11.4%. The Lightning so far have had 1,778 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .887. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have recorded 168 power play tries (24th in the league) and have come away with 33 goals in those chances.

The man protecting the net in this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Over the course of his pro career, Vasilevskiy is sitting with 256 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .570. He has a save percentage of .917 during his 26,979 minutes between the pipes. Vasilevskiy has had 13,870 shot attempts against him and has recorded 12,721 total saves. The opposition has been able to score 1,149 goals against Vasilevskiy in his career and his goals against rate is 2.56. He has accumulated an overall mark of 283-137-28 and got the start in 449 games. Vasilevskiy has been in goal for 459 games during his NHL career.

When they were on the ice last, Philadelphia played the Penguins in a game where the Flyers ended up taking the loss by a score of 7-6. They had 5 power play attempts in this matchup and netted 1 out of those chances. The Flyers netted 6 goals of the 21 shots on goal they attempted.

So far this season, the Philadelphia Flyers have earned a total of 173 goals, 67 points, as well as a points percentage of .568. They have allowed 173 goals to be scored by of a combination of 147 goals at even strength and 26 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Flyers have racked up 148 goals at even strength and 25 goals (28th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have earned 189 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 13.23%. Philadelphia has attempted 1,978 shots (1st in hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 8.75%, while allowing their opponents 1,651 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 86.10% on their opponents 187 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage is 89.5%.

On the other side of the ice you are going to see Samuel Ersson between the pipes. Ersson has accrued a career mark of 22-14-4 and has played in 44 contests. Ersson's quality start rate comes out to 57.5% and he has 23 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has recorded 999 stops out of 1,110 shots taken against him, giving him a save % of .900. His opposition is averaging 2.70 goals per game and he has yielded 111 goals altogether. He has made the start in 40 contests and has played 2,470 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+102) and under 6.5 goals

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