Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 2/15/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Thursday, February 15, 2024

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (+135) Maple Leafs (-165)

Scotiabank Arena is where the Toronto Maple Leafs (27-16-8) will try to defeat the Philadelphia Flyers (29-19-6) on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has Philadelphia at +135 and Toronto is coming in at -165. The total has been set at 7.

The Philadelphia Flyers will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 5-3 win against the Coyotes in their previous game. Philadelphia earned 8 penalty mins for this game. The Flyers had a good offensive performance and it was apparent in the victory. Moreover, they had 7 power play tries but weren't able to score a goal. In the matchup, they scored on 5 out of the 34 shots they launched.

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When at even strength, the Flyers have surrendered 130 goals while getting 135 when they are on offense. Philadelphia Flyers opponents have tallied 168 power play tries (8th in the NHL) and have tallied 23 goals in those attempts. When it comes to their goal scoring prowess, the Philadelphia Flyers have notched 157 goals (17th in the NHL) for the year and have allowed 153. Philadelphia has taken 1,804 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 8.7%. For the year, they have tallied 64 points and their points percentage comes in at .593. The Flyers have had 1,505 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .898. Philadelphia has accumulated 174 power play opportunities and they have tallied 22 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 12.64%.

The player in the crease for this game is Samuel Ersson. Opponents have notched 99 goals against Ersson in his pro career and his goals against average per contest is 2.66. Ersson has participated in 40 matchups throughout his professional hockey career. His save percentage currently sits at .901 in his 2,233 mins on the ice. He has an overall mark of 21-12-3 and got the start in 36 games. Over the course of his pro career, Ersson has compiled 21 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .583. Ersson has seen 997 shots against him and he has 898 total saves.

Their last time out, Toronto faced the Blues in a matchup where the Maple Leafs got the win by a tally of 4-1. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this game but weren't able to score a goal. The Maple Leafs converted 4 goals of the 32 shots on goal they were seeking.

Toronto has taken 1,689 shots (5th in the league) and has a shot percentage of 10.42%, while allowing the other team 1,540 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 78.47% on their opponents 144 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 89.5%. They have a tally of 145 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 26.21%. The Maple Leafs have earned 138 goals at even strength and 38 goals (10th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 162 goals to be scored by way of 131 goals at even strength and 31 goals while they were shorthanded. On the campaign, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 176 goals, 62 points, in addition to a points percentage of .608.

For the opposition you will find Ilya Samsonov protecting the goal. He has recorded 3,677 stops out of 4,067 shots attempted against him, giving him a save % of .904. Samsonov has accrued a lifetime mark of 89-36-19 and has been in net for 153 games. He has started in 141 games and has been on the ice for 8,554 minutes. Samsonov's quality start rate comes out to 48.9% and he has 69 quality starts in his professional career. Opponents are averaging 2.74 goals/game and he has surrendered 390 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+135)

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