Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 3/9/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Saturday, March 9, 2024

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (+145) Lightning (-177)

Amalie Arena is the site where the Tampa Bay Lightning (33-25-6) will play the Philadelphia Flyers (33-23-8) on Saturday. The odds on this game have Philadelphia at +145 while Tampa Bay opens at -177. The total is set at 7.

The Philadelphia Flyers were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 2-1 win against the Panthers their last time out. Philadelphia accumulated 4 mins in the box for this matchup. The Flyers didn't have a great showing offensively in the victory. Additionally, they had 1 opportunity with more players on the ice but weren't able to make the most of that try. For the game, they tallied a score on 2 of the 26 shots they put on net.

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Philadelphia Flyers opponents have earned 201 power play tries (8th in hockey) and have come away with 27 goals in those attempts. The Flyers so far have had 1,775 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .896. Philadelphia has taken 2,140 shots and has a shooting percentage of 8.8%. At even strength, the Flyers have given up 157 goals while notching 162 on offense. Philadelphia has compiled 202 power play opportunities and they have added 26 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 12.87%. For the current season, they have racked up 74 points and their points percentage is .578. When it comes to scoring goals, the Philadelphia Flyers have racked up 188 goals (22nd in hockey) for the year and have allowed 184.

The player in the crease for this game is Samuel Ersson. Ersson has been involved in 48 games throughout his professional hockey career. He has amassed an overall mark of 24-15-5 and got the start in 44 games. Opponents have racked up 120 goals versus Ersson in his professional hockey career and his goals against average per game is 2.65. Ersson has seen 1,208 shots against him and has gathered 1,088 total saves. He has a save percentage of .901 for his 2,715 minutes played. Throughout his time in hockey, Ersson has earned 26 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .591.

In their last game, Tampa Bay faced off against the Flames in a game where the Lightning took a loss by a score of 6-3. They had 3 power play chances in this outing but weren't able to notch a goal. The Lightning converted 3 goals out of the 22 shots on goal they pursued.

During this campaign, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched a total of 214 goals, 72 points, in addition to a points percentage of .563. They have allowed 219 goals to be scored by way of 184 goals at even strength and 35 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Lightning have tallied 160 goals at even strength and 54 goals (3rd in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have recorded 191 chances on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 28.27%. Tampa Bay has taken 1,879 shots (21st in the NHL) and has earned a shot percentage of 11.39%, while allowing their opponents 1,887 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 80.45% on their opponents 179 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 88.4%.

Across the ice you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy protecting the goal. He has racked up 12,812 saves out of 13,976 shots taken against him, giving him a save percentage of .917. Vasilevskiy is the owner of a career record of 284-139-29 and has participated in 463 games. He got the starting nod in 453 games and his ice time sits at 27,220 mins. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage sits at 56.7% and he has qualified for 257 quality starts in his NHL career. Opponents are averaging 2.57 goals/game and he has surrendered 1,164 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-177)

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