Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 11/7/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Thursday, November 7, 2024

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (+110) Lightning (-132)

The Philadelphia Flyers (4-8-1) are traveling to Amalie Arena on Thursday where they will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (7-6-0). The moneyline on this contest has the Flyers at +110 and the Lightning are opening at -132. The betting total comes in at 6.5.

The Philadelphia Flyers will look to clean up some issues after taking a 6-4 defeat against the Hurricanes in their last outing. Philadelphia accumulated 4 mins in the box in this contest. Furthermore, they had 3 attempts on the power play and were able to notch 1 goal. The Flyers had a solid offensive performance in this defeat. While out there on the ice, they tallied a score on 4 of the 16 shots they tried.

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In the matter of their scoring capabilities, the Philadelphia Flyers have accumulated 34 goals (27th in the NHL) so far this season and have given up 50. For the year, they have recorded 9 points and their points percentage comes in at .346. Philadelphia is sitting with 45 power play opportunities and they have added 9 goals during those advantages, giving them a percentage of 20.00%. At even strength, the Flyers let the opposition score 45 goals while notching 25 of their own. Philadelphia has tried 324 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 10.5%. The Flyers have seen 366 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .863. Philadelphia Flyers opponents have 45 power play opportunities (8th in pro hockey) and have a total of 5 goals in those chances.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Samuel Ersson. Over the course of his time in hockey, Ersson has accumulated 37 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .552. He has a save percentage of .893 for his 3,473 minutes between the pipes. Ersson has seen 1,734 shots taken against him and has garnered 1,549 total saves. Opponents have been able to score 185 goals versus Ersson in his NHL career and his goals against average is 3.20. He has a mark of 33-24-8 and he has started in 67 games. Ersson has played in 72 matchups during his professional hockey career.

When they were on the ice last, Tampa Bay faced off against the Blues in a matchup where the Lightning ended up losing by a tally of 3-2. The Lightning scored 2 goals of the 23 shots on goal they attempted. They had 3 attempts on the power play in this matchup but didn't score a goal.

Tampa Bay has tried 353 shots (21st in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 13.60%, while allowing the other team 366 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 73.81% on their opponents 42 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 88.3%. They have earned 43 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play percentage of 18.60%. The Lightning have earned 40 goals at even strength and 8 goals (17th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have permitted 43 goals to be scored by way of 32 goals at even strength and 11 goals while they had less men on the ice. For the year, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accumulated 48 goals, 14 points, in addition to a points percentage of .538.

On the other side of the ice you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy patrolling the crease. Vasilevskiy has a lifetime record of 299-148-30 and has participated in 488 contests. Vasilevskiy's rate of quality starts comes out to 56.5% and he has earned 270 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has accrued 13,444 stops out of the 14,670 shots taken, which gives him a rate of .916. His opposition is averaging 2.62 goals per contest and he has yielded 1,226 goals altogether. He got the starting nod in 478 contests and his ice time sits at 28,074 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+110)

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