Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 4/11/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Thursday, April 11, 2024

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+190) Lightning (-240)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (44-27-7) will try to defeat the Ottawa Senators (34-40-4) at Amalie Arena on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has Ottawa at +190 and Tampa Bay is sitting at -240. The over/under has been set at 7.

The Ottawa Senators will look to clean up some issues after taking a 2-0 defeat to the Panthers their last time out. Ottawa garnered 20 penalty minutes for this matchup. The Senators didn't have their best offensive outing in the loss. They also had 3 opportunities with more players on the ice but didn't convert them into a score. In the game, they ended the night with no scores out of the 25 shots they looked to score on.

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Ottawa Senators opponents have tallied 232 power play opportunities (20th in the NHL) and have scored 59 goals in those attempts. The Senators so far have had 2,313 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .883. Ottawa has attempted 2,485 shots and has a shooting percentage of 9.7%. When playing at even strength, the Senators have allowed the opponent to score 211 goals while notching 193 on offense. Ottawa has accounted for 269 power play chances and they have notched 48 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 17.84%. For the current season, they have accumulated 72 points and their points percentage is sitting at .462. Regarding their goal scoring prowess, the Ottawa Senators have notched 241 goals (17th in pro hockey) this season and have given up 270.

The man protecting the net in this game is Joonas Korpisalo. The opposition has racked up 771 goals versus Korpisalo in his pro career and his average for goals against per game is 3.06. Korpisalo has been involved in 274 contests over the course of his professional hockey career. His save percentage is .901 in his 15,133 mins guarding the cage. He has compiled a record of 114-106-29 and he has started in 248 games. During his career on the ice, Korpisalo has accounted for 122 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .492. Korpisalo has seen 7,823 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 7,052 total saves.

In their last game, Tampa Bay faced the Blue Jackets in a game where the Lightning took home the win by a final score of 5-2. They had 2 attempts on the power play in this outing and netted 1 out of those opportunities. The Lightning earned 5 goals out of the 33 shots on goal they were seeking.

The Lightning are sitting with 206 goals at even strength and 70 goals (1st in pro hockey) while on the power play. Tampa Bay has taken 2,276 shots (22nd in professional hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 12.13%, while allowing the other team 2,297 shots. So far this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 276 goals, 95 points, and a points percentage of .609. They have granted a total of 253 goals to be scored by of a combination of 215 goals at even strength and 38 goals while they were shorthanded. They have recorded 236 chances on the power play and they have a power play rate of 29.66%. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 82.88% on their oppositions 222 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently sits at 89.0%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy in goal. His opposition is averaging 2.56 goals per game and he has allowed 1,191 goals altogether. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage is 56.1% and he has accumulated 261 quality starts in his pro career. He has started in 465 contests and his ice time sits at 27,934 mins. Vasilevskiy holds a lifetime record of 293-141-30 and has been in goal for 475 games. He has tallied 13,132 stops out of 14,323 shots taken, which gives him a rate of .917.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Ottawa (+190)

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