Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 2/19/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Monday, February 19, 2024

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+126) Lightning (-152)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (30-21-5) will try to defeat the Ottawa Senators (22-27-2) at Amalie Arena on Monday. The moneyline on this game has Ottawa at +126 while Tampa Bay opens at -152. The over/under is set at 7.

The Ottawa Senators were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 3-2 loss against the Blackhawks in their previous game. The Senators had an offensive game that was below their expectations in this defeat. For the game, they were able to notch a goal on 2 of the 42 shots they launched. Additionally, they had 2 chances on the power play and scored 1 goal. Ottawa amassed 2 minutes in the box in this game.

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Ottawa Senators opponents have totaled 159 power play opportunities (23rd in professional hockey) and have come away with 41 goals in those attempts. The Senators have had 1,545 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .881. Ottawa has attempted 1,674 shots and holds a shot percentage of 10.2%. At even strength, the Senators let the opposition score 143 goals while earning 141 of their own. Ottawa skates onto the rink with 186 power play chances and they have notched 30 goals during those chances, earning them a rate of 16.13%. For the season, they have recorded 46 points and their points percentage sits at .451. In reference to their scoring capabilities, the Ottawa Senators have accumulated 171 goals (13th in the National Hockey League) this year and have conceded 184.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Joonas Korpisalo. Korpisalo has played in 257 games over the course of his NHL career. He has earned an overall mark of 107-99-27 and was named the starter in 233 games. The opposition has notched 725 goals against Korpisalo in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 3.07. Korpisalo has had 7,364 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 6,639 total saves. His save percentage sits at .902 during his 14,181 mins in the crease. During his career on the ice, Korpisalo has tallied 112 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .481.

When they took the ice last, Tampa Bay faced off against the Panthers in an outing where the Lightning ended up taking the loss by a final score of 9-2. They had 4 opportunities on the power play in this outing and scored 1 out of those opportunities. The Lightning converted 2 goals of the 30 shots on goal they pursued.

The Lightning have earned 139 goals at even strength and 52 goals (1st in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. Tampa Bay has attempted 1,678 shots (16th in the league) and has a shot percentage of 11.38%, while allowing their opponents 1,673 shots. Over the course of the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accumulated 191 goals, 65 points, in addition to a points percentage of .580. They have granted a total of 189 goals to be scored by way of 158 goals at even strength and 31 goals while they were shorthanded. They have a total of 172 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 30.23%. They have a penalty kill percentage of 79.87% on the other teams 154 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently sits at 88.7%.

For the opposition you are likely to see Andrei Vasilevskiy protecting the goal. Vasilevskiy has compiled a career record of 282-135-28 and has played in 456 games. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage is 56.7% and he has 253 quality starts in his pro career. He has accounted for 12,646 saves out of 13,785 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save % of .917. His opponents are averaging 2.55 goals per contest and he has surrendered 1,139 goals in total. He has started in 446 games and has been on the ice for 26,804 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Ottawa (+126)

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