Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 1/11/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Thursday, January 11, 2024

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: MSG Network

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+123) Sabres (-150)

The Buffalo Sabres (17-20-4) are hosting the Ottawa Senators (14-22-0) at KeyBank Center on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has Ottawa at +123 while Buffalo is opening at -150. The over/under is set at 7.

The Ottawa Senators will look to clean up some issues after taking a 6-3 loss to the Flames in their previous contest . Ottawa had 4 penalty minutes for this game. Moreover, they had 3 power play attempts and were able to notch 1 goal. The Senators had an average offensive output in this loss. While out there on the ice, they finished 3 of the 33 shots they tried.

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In the matter of their scoring, the Ottawa Senators have tallied 118 goals (22nd in the NHL) on the year and have given up 131. For the current campaign, they have racked up 28 points and their points percentage is .389. Ottawa has accounted for 136 power play chances and they have added 23 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 16.91%. When at even strength, the Senators let the opposition score 97 goals while notching 95 themselves. Ottawa has taken 1,165 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 10.1%. The Senators thus far have had 1,137 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .885. Ottawa Senators opponents have totaled 119 power play opportunities (23rd in hockey) and have scored 34 goals in those attempts.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Joonas Korpisalo. Korpisalo has participated in 245 games during his pro hockey career. He has earned a win-loss record of 101-95-25 and he started in 223 games. Opponents have racked up 693 goals against Korpisalo in his pro career and his goals against average per game is 3.08. Korpisalo has had 7,086 shot attempts taken against him and he has 6,393 total saves. His save percentage sits at .902 during his 13,518 minutes in the crease. For his professional hockey career, Korpisalo has accumulated 108 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .484.

Their last time out, Buffalo played the Kraken in an outing where the Sabres were on the wrong end of the score by a score of 5-2. They had 1 attempt on the power play in this matchup but didn't score a goal. The Sabres notched 2 goals of the 38 shots on goal they tried.

On the season, the Buffalo Sabres have accounted for 122 goals, 38 points, as well as a points percentage of .463. They have granted a total of 138 goals to be scored by way of 110 goals at even strength and 28 goals while they were shorthanded. The Sabres have 106 goals at even strength and 16 goals (29th in hockey) while on the power play. They have a total of 117 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 13.68%. Buffalo has tried 1,279 shots (8th in the NHL) and has a shot percentage of 9.54%, while allowing the other team 1,219 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 77.78% on their oppositions 126 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 88.7%.

For the opposition you are likely to see Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen in net. His opponents are averaging 3.34 goals/game and he has yielded 204 goals overall. Luukkonen's quality start rate sits at 47.5% and he has accumulated 29 quality starts in his NHL career. He has been a starter 61 games and has played 3,666 minutes. Luukkonen has compiled a lifetime record of 28-27-8 and has been in goal for 65 contests. He is sitting with 1,792 saves out of the 1,996 shots taken against him, giving him a percentage of .898.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Ottawa (+123)

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