Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 3/23/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Saturday, March 23, 2024

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Oilers (-118) Maple Leafs (-104)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (39-20-9) are hosting the Edmonton Oilers (42-21-4) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Oilers at -118 and the Maple Leafs are coming in at -104. The over/under has been set at 7.

The Edmonton Oilers were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 8-3 victory over the Sabres in the last game they played. The Oilers had a good offensive outing and it showed in the win. In the game, they tallied a score on 8 out of the 39 shots they put on goal. They also had 2 power play opportunities and were able to notch 1 goal. Edmonton accumulated 6 penalty mins in this game.

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Edmonton Oilers opponents have totaled 215 power play opportunities (14th in professional hockey) and have scored 42 goals in those attempts. The Oilers so far have had 1,918 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .901. Edmonton has tried 2,254 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.7%. At even strength, the Oilers have allowed 147 goals while getting 187 as an offensive unit. Edmonton has accumulated 199 power play chances and they have scored 53 goals out of those tries, garnering them a rate of 26.63%. For the current campaign, they have recorded 88 points and their points percentage comes in at .657. Regarding their goal scoring prowess, the Edmonton Oilers have notched 240 goals (6th in the league) for the year and have given up 189.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Stuart Skinner. Skinner has played in 114 games over the course of his professional hockey career. He has an overall mark of 67-33-9 and he has started in 109 games. The opposition has been able to score 294 goals versus Skinner in his pro career and his goals against average per game is 2.68. Skinner has had 3,283 shots taken against him and has recorded 2,989 saves. He has a save percentage of .910 in his 6,578 minutes in the crease. Over the course of his time in hockey, Skinner has 65 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .596.

In their last contest, Toronto squared up with the Capitals in a game where the Maple Leafs got the victory by a score of 7-3. They had 5 attempts on the power play in this one and netted 1 out of those opportunities. The Maple Leafs recorded 7 goals of the 29 shots on goal they were seeking.

Toronto has put up 2,218 shots (9th in professional hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 11.09%, while allowing the opposition 2,021 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 76.60% on their oppositions 188 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 89.5%. They have earned 196 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play rate of 26.02%. The Maple Leafs have tallied 195 goals at even strength and 51 goals (9th in the NHL) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 213 goals to be scored by way of 169 goals at even strength and 44 goals while they were shorthanded. On the campaign, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a total of 246 goals, 87 points, as well as a points percentage of .640.

For the opposition you will find Ilya Samsonov in the crease. He has racked up 3,973 stops out of the 4,395 shots tried, giving him a save % of .904. Samsonov is sitting with a career mark of 97-38-20 and has been in net for 164 games. He has started in 152 games and his ice time sits at 9,225 minutes. Samsonov's quality start percentage comes out to 49.3% and he has qualified for 75 quality starting assignments in his pro career. Opponents are averaging 2.74 goals per contest and he has surrendered 422 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (-104)

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