Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 5/2/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Thursday, May 2, 2024

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Bruins (-104) Maple Leafs (-119)

Scotiabank Arena is the site where the Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10) will try to beat the Boston Bruins (47-20-15) on Thursday in Game 6 of their 1st round series. Boston leads the series 3-2. The moneyline on this game has Boston at -104 while Toronto is at -119. The betting total is set at 7.

The Boston Bruins will need a bounce back game after taking a 2-1 defeat against the Maple Leafs in Game 5. Boston compiled 10 mins in the box for this contest. The Bruins had an offensive game that was below their expectations in the loss. In addition, they had 1 chance with extra men on the ice but didn't net one. For the matchup, they netted 1 of the 28 shots they tried.

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In relation to scoring goals, the Boston Bruins have earned 263 goals (13th in the National Hockey League) so far this year and have allowed 221. For the season, they have tallied 109 points and their points percentage is sitting at .665. Boston has tallied 243 power play opportunities and they have scored 54 goals during those chances, garnering them a percentage of 22.22%. When playing at even strength, the Bruins have allowed 174 goals while earning 209 of their own. Boston has taken 2,399 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 11.0%. The Bruins have had 2,504 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .912. Boston Bruins opponents have earned 268 power play opportunities (4th in the NHL) and have racked up 47 goals in those attempts.

The player between the pipes for this game is Jeremy Swayman. Opponents have scored 295 goals versus Swayman in his NHL career and his goals against rate is 2.34. Swayman has played in 132 games throughout his hockey career. His save percentage currently is .919 in his 7,571 mins on the ice. He has a mark of 79-33-15 and he has gotten the start in 125 games. Over the course of his time in hockey, Swayman has accrued 81 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .648. Swayman has had 3,622 shots taken against him and has recorded 3,327 saves.

In Game 5, Toronto had 3 opportunities on the power play in this outing but weren't able to notch a goal. The Maple Leafs scored 2 goals of the 33 shots on goal they attempted.

During this campaign, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 298 goals, 102 points, in addition to a points percentage of .622. They have allowed 261 goals to be scored by of a combination of 206 goals at even strength and 55 goals while they were shorthanded. The Maple Leafs have earned 241 goals at even strength and 57 goals (12th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have a tally of 238 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 23.95%. Toronto has attempted 2,671 shots (7th in professional hockey) and has a shot percentage of 11.16%, while allowing the opposition 2,446 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 76.89% on their opponents 238 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently sits at 89.3%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Ilya Samsonov in the crease. Samsonov has compiled a lifetime record of 102-39-21 and has been in net for 171 games. Samsonov's quality start percentage comes out to 49.7% and he has made 79 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has compiled 4,160 saves out of the 4,604 shots taken against him, which gives him a save percentage of .904. His opponents are averaging 2.76 goals per game and he has conceded 444 goals overall. He got the starting nod in 159 games and has played 9,642 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Boston (-104)

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