Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 3/4/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Monday, March 4, 2024

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Bruins (+104) Maple Leafs (-125)

The Boston Bruins (35-13-14) are en route to Scotiabank Arena on Monday where they will meet the Toronto Maple Leafs (35-17-8). The moneyline on this contest has the Bruins at +104 and the Maple Leafs are at -125. The total has been set at 7.

The Boston Bruins will need a bounce back game after taking a 5-1 defeat to the Islanders in their last outing. Boston accounted for 8 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Bruins had a below average offensive performance in the loss. Furthermore, they had 2 power play opportunities but weren't able to score a goal. In the game, they were able to notch a goal on 1 of the 23 shots they put on net.

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When playing at even strength, the Bruins let the opposition score 131 goals while having 161 on offense. Boston Bruins opponents have earned 215 power play opportunities (2nd in pro hockey) and have notched 40 goals in those chances. Regarding their goal scoring prowess, the Boston Bruins have earned 205 goals (7th in the league) this year and have given up 171. Boston has taken 1,868 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.0%. For the current campaign, they have recorded 84 points and their points percentage is .677. The Bruins have had 1,951 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .912. Boston is sitting with 189 power play opportunities and they have notched 44 goals during those chances, giving them a percentage of 23.28%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Linus Ullmark. Ullmark has been involved in 238 games throughout his professional hockey career. He has amassed an overall mark of 132-70-22 and he has started in 228 games. Opponents have been able to score 579 goals versus Ullmark in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.54. Ullmark has had 7,043 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 6,464 total saves. He has a save percentage of .918 during his 13,688 minutes in the crease. For his career, Ullmark has compiled 144 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .632.

In their last game, Toronto faced the Rangers in a matchup where the Maple Leafs got the tie by a tally of 3-3. The Maple Leafs converted 3 goals of the 34 shots on goal they took. They had 3 power play opportunities in this outing but weren't able to put one in the back of the net.

Toronto has taken 1,976 shots (5th in the league) and has earned a shot percentage of 11.08%, while allowing the other team 1,794 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 78.05% on their oppositions 164 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently sits at 89.5%. They have a total of 169 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 28.40%. The Maple Leafs are sitting with 171 goals at even strength and 48 goals (6th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 189 goals to be scored by of a combination of 153 goals at even strength and 36 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the year, the Toronto Maple Leafs have tallied 219 goals, 78 points, in addition to a points percentage of .650.

For the opposition you are likely to see Ilya Samsonov protecting the goal. Samsonov has accrued a career record of 94-37-19 and has played in 159 games. Samsonov's quality start percentage is 49.0% and he has earned 72 quality starting assignments in his career. He has accrued 3,832 saves out of the 4,241 shots attempted against him, giving him a rate of .904. The opposition is averaging 2.75 goals per game and he has given up 409 goals overall. He has been a starter 147 games and his ice time sits at 8,919 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (-125)

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