Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 4/24/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Monday, April 24, 2023

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-114) Lightning (-107)

The Toronto Maple Leafs are hitting the road to Amalie Arena on Monday where they will compete against the Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 4 of their series. Toronto leads 2-1. The moneyline on this contest has Toronto at -114 and Tampa Bay is coming in at -107. The total is 7.

The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4-3 win against the Lightning in Game 3. The Maple Leafs had a solid offensive outing in this victory. For the outing, they scored on 4 out of the 27 shots they looked to score on. Furthermore, they had 3 chances on the power play but weren't able to score. Toronto accrued 18 penalty mins for this game.

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In the matter of scoring goals, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 278 goals (9th in the National Hockey League) for the year and have allowed 220. For the season, they have scored 111 points and their points percentage comes in at .677. Toronto has accumulated 246 power play chances and they have notched 64 goals out of those advantages, giving them a percentage of 26.02%. When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 175 goals while earning 214 themselves. Toronto has attempted 2,628 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.6%. The Maple Leafs have had 2,420 shots attempted against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .909. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 248 power play opportunities (16th in the NHL) and have tallied 45 goals in those attempts.

The man protecting the net in this game is Ilya Samsonov. Opponents have been able to score 324 goals versus Samsonov in his professional career and his goals against average per game is 2.65. Samsonov has been in net for 131 games over the course of his hockey career. He has a save percentage of .908 during his 7,341 minutes in the crease. He has amassed a win-loss mark of 79-32-13 and he has started in 119 games. Over the course of his career, Samsonov has recorded 60 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .504. Samsonov has had 3,517 shots taken against him and has gathered 3,193 saves.

In Game 3 Tampa had 3 opportunities on the power play in this outing but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. The Lightning scored 3 goals out of the 39 shots on goal they pursued.

Tampa Bay has tried 2,621 shots (13th in the league) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 10.68%, while allowing the other team 2,582 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 79.69% on their opponents 261 power play tries, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.2%. They have a total of 280 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 25.36%. The Lightning have accumulated 209 goals at even strength and 71 goals (3rd in hockey) while on the power play. They have allowed 252 goals to be scored by way of 199 goals at even strength and 53 goals while they were shorthanded. So far this year, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 280 goals, 98 points, as well as a points percentage of .598.

Across the rink you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy protecting the net. He has accounted for 11,863 saves out of the 12,914 shots taken against him, giving him a rate of .919. Vasilevskiy has compiled a career record of 263-123-28 and has been in goal for 425 games. He got the starting nod in 415 games and his ice time sits at 24,986 mins. Vasilevskiy's percentage of quality starts sits at 57.3% and he has accumulated 238 quality starts in his career. His opposition is averaging 2.52 goals per contest and he has yielded 1,051 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-107)

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