Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 4/22/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Saturday, April 22, 2023

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-120) Lightning (+100)

The Tampa Bay Lightning will go up against the Toronto Maple Leafs at Amalie Arena on Saturday in Game 3 of their series. The series is tied 1-1. The odds on this game have the Maple Leafs at -120 while the Lightning are coming in at +100. The over/under has been set at 6.

The Toronto Maple Leafs went home feeling good about their game by earning a 7-2 victory against the Lightning in Game 2. The Maple Leafs had a good offensive performance in this victory. In the game, they tallied a score on 7 out of the 37 shots they attempted. Furthermore, they had 6 chances with the advantage and notched 2 goals. Toronto earned 23 penalty minutes for this game.

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Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have totaled 248 power play opportunities (16th in the league) and have scored 45 goals in those attempts. The Maple Leafs so far have had 2,420 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .909. Toronto has taken 2,628 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.6%. While playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have surrendered 175 goals while getting 214 on offense. Toronto has accumulated 246 power play chances and they have added 64 goals during those advantages, giving them a rate of 26.02%. For the current campaign, they have tallied 111 points and their points % is .677. In the matter of their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 278 goals (9th in the NHL) so far this season and have given up 220.

The man in goal for this game is Ilya Samsonov. During his career on the ice, Samsonov has compiled 60 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .504. He has a save percentage of .908 for his 7,341 minutes guarding the cage. Samsonov has seen 3,517 shots taken against him and has recorded 3,193 saves. Opponents have been able to score 324 goals versus Samsonov in his pro hockey career and his goals against average is 2.65. He has compiled a win-loss mark of 79-32-13 and he has gotten the start in 119 games. Samsonov has participated in 131 matchups throughout his NHL career.

In Game 2, Tampa had 3 chances on the power play in this outing but were not able to net one. The Lightning had 2 goals of the 22 shots on goal they tried.

The Lightning have racked up 209 goals at even strength and 71 goals (3rd in the league) while on the power play. Tampa Bay has taken 2,621 shots (13th in the NHL) and has a shooting percentage of 10.68%, while allowing their opponents 2,582 shots. For the year, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned a total of 280 goals, 98 points, as well as a points percentage of .598. They have allowed 252 goals to be scored by of a combination of 199 goals at even strength and 53 goals while they were shorthanded. They have a total of 280 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 25.36%. They have a penalty kill percentage of 79.69% on the other teams 261 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.2%.

Across the rink you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy protecting the net. Vasilevskiy has accrued a career mark of 263-123-28 and has participated in 425 contests. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage comes out to 57.3% and he has 238 quality starts in his NHL career. He has a tally of 11,863 saves out of the 12,914 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .919. His opponents are averaging 2.52 goals per game and he has given up 1,051 goals overall. He has made the start in 415 games and his ice time sits at 24,986 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+100)

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