Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 4/11/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Tuesday, April 11, 2023

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Amalie Arena is the location where the Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-6) will play the Toronto Maple Leafs (47-21-11) on Tuesday.

The Toronto Maple Leafs went home feeling good about their game by earning a 7-1 victory against the Canadiens their last time out. Toronto accumulated 17 penalty minutes for this matchup. Additionally, they had 6 power play chances and were able to net 4 goals. The Maple Leafs had a solid offensive outing in this win. In the matchup, they netted 7 of the 46 shots they put on net.

In terms of their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 269 goals (9th in the National Hockey League) this season and have allowed 214. For the season, they have tallied 105 points and their points % is .665. Toronto has accumulated 238 power play chances and they have tallied 62 goals out of those attempts, earning them a rate of 26.05%. At even strength, the Maple Leafs have surrendered 170 goals while getting 207 of their own. Toronto has taken 2,558 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.5%. The Maple Leafs have had 2,302 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .907. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 236 power play tries (18th in the league) and have notched 44 goals in those chances.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Ilya Samsonov. In his professional hockey career, Samsonov has 60 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .508. He has a save percentage of .907 for his 7,276 minutes in the crease. Samsonov has had 3,471 shot attempts against him and he has 3,148 saves. The opposition has racked up 323 goals against Samsonov in his career and his goals against average per game is 2.66. He has accumulated an overall mark of 78-32-13 and he was named the starter in 118 games. Samsonov has participated in 130 matchups during his professional hockey career.

In their last contest, Tampa Bay faced off against the Senators in an outing where the Lightning ended up losing by a final score of 7-4. The Lightning tallied 4 goals out of the 24 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 5 power play chances in this one and recorded 3 out of those opportunities.

The Lightning have earned 202 goals at even strength and 70 goals (3rd in the league) while on the power play. Tampa Bay has put up 2,541 shots (12th in the league) and has a shooting percentage of 10.70%, while allowing the opposition 2,526 shots. So far this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned a total of 272 goals, 96 points, and a points percentage of .600. They have permitted 248 goals to be scored by of a combination of 197 goals at even strength and 51 goals while they were shorthanded. They have earned 270 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play rate of 25.93%. They have a penalty kill rate of 79.84% on their opponents 253 tries on the power play, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.2%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy between the pipes. His opposition is averaging 2.52 goals per game and he has yielded 1,047 goals overall. Vasilevskiy's rate of quality starts comes out to 57.7% and he has made 239 quality starts in his career. He has made the start in 414 games and has played 24,929 minutes. Vasilevskiy has a career mark of 263-122-28 and has participated in 424 games. He has recorded 11,843 saves out of the 12,890 shots attempted, which gives him a percentage of .919.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Tampa Bay

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