Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 10/21/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-111) Lightning (-111)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (2-2-1) are welcoming the Toronto Maple Leafs (2-2-0) at Amalie Arena on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Maple Leafs at -111 and the Lightning are coming in at -111. The betting total comes in at 7.

The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the losing side of the ice with a 3-1 defeat against the Panthers in their previous contest . Toronto compiled 8 penalty minutes for this game. The Maple Leafs had a below average offensive outing in this loss. They also had 5 power play chances and scored 1 goal. In the matchup, they converted 1 of the 30 shots they tried.

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In the matter of their scoring, the Toronto Maple Leafs have racked up 14 goals (9th in hockey) on the year and have conceded 16. For the season, the have a total of 4 points and their points percentage sits at .500. Toronto has compiled 15 power play chances and they have scored 5 goals out of those advantages, earning them a rate of 33.33%. While playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed the opponent to score 14 goals while earning 9 of their own. Toronto has tried 140 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 10.0%. The Maple Leafs so far have had 111 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .856. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have recorded 13 power play opportunities (21st in pro hockey) and have scored 2 goals in those chances.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Ilya Samsonov. The opposition has notched 335 goals versus Samsonov in his career and his goals against average is 2.67. Samsonov has been in goal for 134 games over the course of his NHL career. His save percentage currently sits at .907 during his 7,521 minutes played. He has earned a record of 81-33-13 and he was named the starter in 122 games. During his career on the ice, Samsonov is sitting with 61 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .500. Samsonov has seen 3,596 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 3,261 saves.

In their last game, Tampa Bay went up against the Canucks in an outing where the Lightning earned a victory by a final of 4-3. They had 3 power play attempts in this outing and recorded 2 out of those opportunities. The Lightning recorded 4 goals of the 36 shots on goal they attempted.

For the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned a total of 17 goals, 5 points, and a points percentage of .500. They have permitted 20 goals to be scored by way of 19 goals at even strength and 1 goal while they were shorthanded. The Lightning have earned 12 goals at even strength and 5 goals (4th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have earned 16 power play chances and they have earned a power play rate of 31.25%. Tampa Bay has put up 142 shots (6th in hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 11.97%, while allowing the other team 171 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 90.91% on their oppositions 11 tries on the power play, and their save percentage is currently 88.3%.

Across the rink you are going to see Jonas Johansson between the pipes. His opponents are averaging 3.37 goals per game and he has surrendered 113 goals in total. Johansson's percentage of quality starts is 34.4% and he has 11 quality starts in his professional career. He has made the start in 32 games and his ice time sits at 2,011 mins. Johansson is sitting with a lifetime mark of 13-14-5 and has played in 39 games. He has recorded 887 saves out of the 1,000 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save percentage of .887.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-111)

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