Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 4/27/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Thursday, April 27, 2023

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+125) Maple Leafs (-145)

Scotiabank Arena is the site where the Toronto Maple Leafs will attempt to defeat the Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday in Game 5 of their series. Toronto leads 3-1. The moneyline on this game has Tampa Bay at +125 and Toronto is sitting at -145. The total is 7.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will look to clean up some issues after taking a 5-4 defeat against the Maple Leafs in Game 4. The Lightning had a solid offensive outing in the defeat. In the outing, they tallied a score on 4 of the 31 shots they attempted. Moreover, they had 3 attempts on the power play and were able to notch 1 goal. Tampa Bay earned 10 penalty mins in this matchup.

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Concerning their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched 280 goals (8th in the league) over the course of the season and have conceded 252. For the season, they have scored 98 points and their points percentage comes in at .598. Tampa Bay comes into the game with 280 power play chances and they have added 71 goals during those advantages, giving them a rate of 25.36%. While at even strength, the Lightning have conceded 199 goals while getting 209 on the offensive side of the ice. Tampa Bay has taken 2,621 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.7%. The Lightning thus far have had 2,582 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .902. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have tallied 261 power play tries (12th in the NHL) and have a total of 53 goals in those chances.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. Over the course of his career, Vasilevskiy has accrued 238 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .573. His save percentage is .919 in his 24,986 mins on the ice. Vasilevskiy has had 12,914 shots against him and has accrued 11,863 total saves. Opponents have been able to score 1,051 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his NHL career and his goals against average per game is 2.52. He has amassed a mark of 263-123-28 and he has started in 415 games. Vasilevskiy has been involved in 425 contests throughout his professional hockey career.

In Game 4 Toronto had 4 chances on the power play in this game and converted 2 out of those attempts. The Maple Leafs recorded 5 goals of the 37 shots on goal they took.

Toronto has taken 2,628 shots (12th in the league) and has a shooting percentage of 10.58%, while allowing the other team 2,420 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 81.85% on their oppositions 248 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 90.9%. They have a total of 246 power play chances and they have earned a power play rate of 26.02%. The Maple Leafs have 214 goals at even strength and 64 goals (5th in hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have allowed 220 goals to be scored by way of 175 goals at even strength and 45 goals while they were shorthanded. On the year, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a total of 278 goals, 111 points, in addition to a points percentage of .677.

For the opposition you are going to see Ilya Samsonov between the pipes. His opponents are averaging 2.65 goals per contest and he has relinquished 324 goals overall. Samsonov's quality start rate sits at 50.4% and he has made 60 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has been a starter 119 contests and has accumulated 7,341 minutes. Samsonov has accrued a career mark of 79-32-13 and has played in 131 games. He has racked up 3,193 stops out of 3,517 shots taken, giving him a rate of .908.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+125)

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