Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 1/27/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Friday, January 27, 2023

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+165) Maple Leafs (-200)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (30-11-8) host the Ottawa Senators (21-23-3) at Scotiabank Arena on Friday. The moneyline on this game has the Senators at +165 while the Maple Leafs are at -200. The betting total is set at 7.

The Ottawa Senators will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 2-1 victory against the Islanders in their previous contest . Ottawa accrued 11 penalty minutes in this matchup. Moreover, they had 3 power play chances and were able to net 1 goal. The Senators didn't have their best offensive outing in the victory. For the game, they scored on 2 out of the 38 shots they put on net.

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Ottawa Senators opponents have tallied 164 power play tries (11th in the NHL) and have come away with 31 goals in those chances. The Senators have had 1,496 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .898. Ottawa has tried 1,583 shots and holds a shot percentage of 8.5%. When playing at even strength, the Senators have surrendered 122 goals while earning 87 themselves. Ottawa skates onto the rink with 178 power play chances and they have tallied 47 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a rate of 26.40%. For the current campaign, they have accumulated 45 points and their points percentage comes in at .479. Pertaining to their scoring capabilities, the Ottawa Senators have tallied 134 goals (26th in the National Hockey League) on the season and have surrendered 153.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Anton Forsberg. Forsberg has participated in 126 matchups over the course of his NHL career. He has compiled a record of 45-56-11 and he has started in 115 games. The opposition has notched 339 goals against Forsberg in his career and his goals against rate is 3.08. Forsberg has seen 3,680 shot attempts against him and has accrued 3,341 saves. His save percentage is .908 in his 6,608 mins played. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Forsberg has compiled 61 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .530.

In their last game, Toronto faced off against the Rangers in a game where the Maple Leafs notched a victory by a tally of 3-2. The Maple Leafs had 3 goals of the 35 shots on goal they attempted. They had 3 power play opportunities in this matchup but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal.

The Maple Leafs have accumulated 128 goals at even strength and 38 goals (8th in pro hockey) while on the power play. Toronto has taken 1,563 shots (13th in the league) and has a shot percentage of 10.62%, while allowing the other team 1,408 shots. For the year, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned a total of 166 goals, 68 points, in addition to a points percentage of .694. They have granted a total of 128 goals to be scored by of a combination of 97 goals at even strength and 31 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have recorded 157 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 24.20%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 79.33% on their opponents 150 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage is currently 90.9%.

Across the ice you are likely to see Matt Murray protecting the goal. Murray has accrued a lifetime mark of 143-83-24 and has been in goal for 265 games. Murray's quality start rate comes in at 53.3% and he has made 137 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has accounted for 7,122 stops out of 7,816 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save % of .911. His opponents are averaging 2.77 goals per game and he has conceded 694 goals in total. He has started in 257 contests and his ice time sits at 15,050 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-200)

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