Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 10/11/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Wednesday, October 11, 2023

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (+240) Maple Leafs (-300)

The Montreal Canadiens (31-45-6 last year) are on their way to Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday where they will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (50-21-11 last season). The moneyline on this game has the Canadiens at +240 and the Maple Leafs are opening at -300. The over/under is set at 7.

The Montreal Canadiens will look to clean up some issues after taking a 5-4 loss against the Bruins in their previous outing. The Canadiens had a solid offensive outing and it was apparent in this defeat. While out there on the ice, they scored on 4 out of the 34 shots they put on goal. Furthermore, they had 3 opportunities with more players on the ice but didn't get a goal. Montreal accrued 19 penalty mins in this matchup.

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In terms of their scoring capabilities, the Montreal Canadiens notched 227 goals (26th in pro hockey) for the prior year and allowed 305. For the previous campaign, they recorded 68 points and their points percentage finished at .415. Montreal compiled 236 power play chances and tallied 38 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a percentage of 16.10%. At even strength, the Canadiens conceded 230 goals while scoring 189. Montreal took 2,237 shots and held a shooting percentage of 10.2%. The Canadiens had 2,753 shots taken against them and were the owners of a save percentage of .889. Montreal Canadiens opposition had 275 power play tries (7th in hockey) and had a total of 75 goals in those attempts.

The player between the pipes for this game is Sam Montembeault. Over the course of his pro career, Montembeault has accounted for 40 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .455. His save percentage currently sits at .896 during his 5,569 mins on the ice. Montembeault has had 3,107 shot attempts against him and he has 2,783 saves. Opponents have been able to score 324 goals versus Montembeault in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 3.49. He has compiled an overall mark of 33-45-12 and he was named the starter in 88 games. Montembeault has been involved in 103 matchups during his professional hockey career.

When they were on the ice last, Toronto faced the Panthers in an outing where the Maple Leafs took a loss by a mark of 3-2. They had 2 power play chances in this one but weren't able to notch a goal. The Maple Leafs scored 2 goals out of the 52 shots on goal they pursued.

Toronto attempted 2,628 shots (12th in hockey) and earned a shot percentage of 10.58%, while allowing the other team 2,420 shots. They recorded a penalty kill rate of 81.85% on their opposition's 248 power play chances, and their save percentage came in at 90.9%. They had a tally of 246 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 26.02%. The Maple Leafs finished with 214 goals at even strength and 64 goals (5th in professional hockey) while having a power play advantage. They permitted 220 goals to be scored by way of 175 goals at even strength and 45 goals while they were shorthanded. Last year, the Toronto Maple Leafs tallied 278 goals, 111 points, as well as a points percentage of .677.

Across the ice you are expected to see Ilya Samsonov in net. The opposition is averaging 2.65 goals/game and he has yielded 324 goals in total. Samsonov's quality start rate is 50.4% and he has made 60 quality starting assignments in his career. He has started in 119 contests and has played for a total of 7,341 mins. Samsonov has compiled a career mark of 79-32-13 and has been in goal for 131 contests. He is sitting with 3,193 stops out of 3,517 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .908.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Montreal (+240)

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