Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 3/11/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Oilers (+125) Maple Leafs (-150)

Scotiabank Arena is the site where the Toronto Maple Leafs (39-17-8) will take on the Edmonton Oilers (36-22-8) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has the Oilers at +125 while the Maple Leafs are priced at -150. The betting total is set at 7.

The Edmonton Oilers were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 3-2 win against the Bruins in the last game they played. Edmonton tallied 4 minutes in the box for this contest. Furthermore, they had 1 power play try but weren't able to score. The Oilers were neither impressive or disappointing offensively in the victory. In the game, they scored on 3 of the 22 shots they tried.

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Pertaining to their goal scoring prowess, the Edmonton Oilers have accumulated 254 goals (1st in the NHL) for the season and have surrendered 216. For the season, they have recorded 80 points and their points percentage comes in at .606. Edmonton comes into the game with 228 power play opportunities and they have tallied 72 goals during those advantages, giving them a rate of 31.58%. While at even strength, the Oilers let the opposition score 159 goals while having 182 on offense. Edmonton has tried 2,202 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 11.5%. The Oilers have had 2,092 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .897. Edmonton Oilers opponents have tallied 230 power play tries (4th in the league) and have scored 57 goals in those attempts.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Stuart Skinner. Opponents have scored 140 goals versus Skinner in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 2.82. Skinner has played in 52 contests during his professional hockey career. He has a save percentage of .912 in his 2,974 mins played. He has accumulated a win-loss mark of 26-19-4 and he has started in 49 games. Over the course of his career, Skinner is sitting with 28 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .571. Skinner has had 1,591 shot attempts taken against him and has garnered 1,451 saves.

When they were on the ice last, Toronto went up against the Devils in a matchup where the Maple Leafs ended up with the win by a tally of 4-3. They had 2 power play attempts in this contest and scored 1 out of those chances. The Maple Leafs tallied 4 goals out of the 25 shots on goal they pursued.

The Maple Leafs have accumulated 167 goals at even strength and 49 goals (7th in the NHL) while on the power play. Toronto has put up 2,056 shots (16th in the league) and has earned a shooting percentage of 10.51%, while allowing their opponents 1,851 shots. This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have notched a total of 216 goals, 86 points, in addition to a points percentage of .672. They have permitted 170 goals to be scored by way of 134 goals at even strength and 36 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have a total of 193 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 25.39%. They have a penalty kill rate of 81.15% on their oppositions 191 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 90.8%.

Across the ice you are going to see Matt Murray in net. His opponents are averaging 2.77 goals per contest and he has conceded 698 goals altogether. Murray's quality start rate sits at 53.1% and he has accumulated 137 quality starts in his career. He has started in 258 games and has racked up 15,109 mins. Murray has earned a career mark of 143-84-24 and has been in net for 266 games. He has racked up 7,142 saves out of the 7,840 shots tried, giving him a save percentage of .911.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-150)

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