Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 12/4/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Monday, December 4, 2023

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (-108) Lightning (-112)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (10-10-5) are welcoming the Dallas Stars (14-5-3) at Amalie Arena on Monday. The line on this matchup has Dallas at -108 and Tampa Bay is coming in at -112. The over/under comes in at 7.

The Dallas Stars will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 8-1 win over the Lightning in the last game they played. Dallas compiled 12 minutes in the box in this contest. The Stars had a impressive offensive performance in the win. Furthermore, they had 2 power play attempts and netted 2 goals. In the matchup, they were able to notch a goal on 8 of the 34 shots they attempted.

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When it comes to their scoring, the Dallas Stars have earned 78 goals (8th in the league) so far this season and have allowed 61. For the current campaign, they have earned 31 points and their points percentage is sitting at .705. Dallas has 66 power play chances and they have notched 15 goals out of those tries, garnering them a percentage of 22.73%. At even strength, the Stars let the opposition score 52 goals while getting 63 when they are on offense. Dallas has tried 657 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.9%. The Stars thus far have had 702 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .913. Dallas Stars opponents have earned 78 power play opportunities (13th in hockey) and have scored 9 goals in those attempts.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Jake Oettinger. Over the course of his pro career, Oettinger has accumulated 88 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .599. His save percentage currently sits at .916 during his 8,918 minutes guarding the cage. Oettinger has had 4,302 shots taken against him and has gathered 3,942 saves. The opposition has notched 360 goals against Oettinger in his pro hockey career and his goals against average is 2.42. He has a win-loss record of 88-38-21 and he was named the starter in 147 games. Oettinger has participated in 155 matchups over the course of his hockey career.

In their last outing, Tampa Bay faced the Stars in a matchup where the Lightning were on the wrong end of the score by a tally of 8-1. They had 6 opportunities on the power play in this contest and earned 1 out of those opportunities. The Lightning scored 1 goal out of the 33 shots on goal they tried.

The Lightning have racked up 56 goals at even strength and 27 goals (1st in the league) while on the power play. Tampa Bay has attempted 775 shots (5th in professional hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 10.71%, while allowing the opposition 779 shots. So far this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 83 goals, 25 points, in addition to a points percentage of .500. They have allowed 93 goals to be scored by of a combination of 80 goals at even strength and 13 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have earned 85 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 31.76%. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 82.43% on their oppositions 74 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 88.1%.

Across the rink you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy protecting the goal. Teams are averaging 2.54 goals per contest and he has yielded 1,065 goals in total. Vasilevskiy's percentage of quality starts sits at 57.0% and he has 239 quality starting assignments in his pro hockey career. He has made the start in 419 games and his ice time sits at 25,203 mins. Vasilevskiy has amassed a lifetime mark of 264-126-28 and has participated in 429 games. He has a tally of 11,948 saves out of the 13,013 shots attempted against him, giving him a save % of .918.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-112)

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