Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 3/11/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Blackhawks (+375) Lightning (-500)

Amalie Arena is where the Tampa Bay Lightning (38-21-6) will try to beat the Chicago Blackhawks (22-37-5) on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Blackhawks at +375 and the Lightning are at -500. The betting total comes in at 6.

The Chicago Blackhawks had a rough game after their 4-3 defeat against the Red Wings their last time on the ice. Chicago earned 6 penalty minutes in this outing. Additionally, they had 3 power play opportunities and scored 1 goal. The Blackhawks were neither impressive or disappointing offensively in the loss. While out there on the ice, they converted 3 out of the 20 shots they put on net.

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When at even strength, the Blackhawks let the opposition score 182 goals while getting 127 when they are on offense. Chicago Blackhawks opponents have tallied 188 power play tries (25th in hockey) and have earned 45 goals in those chances. When it comes to their scoring, the Chicago Blackhawks have racked up 159 goals (32nd in the league) over the course of the season and have surrendered 227. Chicago has attempted 1,710 shots and has a shot percentage of 9.3%. For the current campaign, they have accumulated 49 points and their points percentage is sitting at .383. The Blackhawks so far have had 2,167 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .895. Chicago comes into the game with 186 power play opportunities and they have scored 32 goals out of those advantages, giving them a rate of 17.20%.

The man in net for this game is Petr Mrazek. In his professional hockey career, Mrazek has accumulated 150 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .503. His save percentage currently sits at .907 for his 18,207 mins in the crease. Mrazek has seen 8,985 shots taken against him and has gathered 8,152 total saves. The opposition has racked up 833 goals versus Mrazek in his pro hockey career and his goals against rate is 2.75. He has earned a win-loss record of 148-120-33 and he has started in 298 games. Mrazek has taken the ice for 325 games over the course of his professional hockey career.

In their last outing, Tampa Bay played the Golden Knights in an outing where the Lightning ended up losing by a tally of 4-3. The Lightning recorded 3 goals of the 37 shots on goal they took. They had 5 power play chances in this game and scored 1 out of those opportunities.

Tampa Bay has put up 2,088 shots (12th in hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 10.82%, while allowing the other team 2,055 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 79.81% on their opponents 208 power play tries, and their save percentage sits at 90.3%. They have earned 230 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 26.09%. The Lightning have accumulated 166 goals at even strength and 60 goals (2nd in the NHL) while on the power play. They have allowed 200 goals to be scored by of a combination of 158 goals at even strength and 42 goals while they had less men on the ice. This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning are sitting with 226 goals, 82 points, as well as a points percentage of .631.

On the other side of the ice you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy protecting the goal. He has gathered 11,557 saves out of the 12,581 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .919. Vasilevskiy has accrued a career mark of 258-117-28 and has been in net for 414 contests. He got the starting nod in 404 games and his ice time sits at 24,330 mins. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage comes out to 57.4% and he has accumulated 232 quality starts in his professional career. His opposition is averaging 2.53 goals per contest and he has relinquished 1,024 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Chicago (+375)

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