Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 11/10/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Friday, November 10, 2023

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-110) Maple Leafs (-118)

Scotiabank Arena is the location where the Toronto Maple Leafs (6-5-2) will try to defeat the Calgary Flames (4-7-1) on Friday. The moneyline on this game has Calgary at -110 while Toronto is opening at -118. The betting total comes in at 7.

The Calgary Flames went home feeling good about their game by earning a 4-2 victory over the Predators their last time out. The Flames had a solid offensive performance in this victory. While out there on the ice, they earned a goal on 4 out of the 39 shots they tried. Furthermore, they had 3 chances on the power play but weren't able to net one. Calgary tallied 4 mins in the box in this contest.

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Calgary Flames opponents have 40 power play tries (20th in the league) and have tallied 4 goals in those chances. The Flames so far have had 331 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .873. Calgary has taken 398 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 8.0%. While playing at even strength, the Flames have conceded 38 goals while having 25 of their own. Calgary has tallied 42 power play chances and they have notched 7 goals during those chances, earning them a percentage of 16.67%. For the season, the have a total of 9 points and their points % is .375. In relation to their goal scoring prowess, the Calgary Flames have notched 32 goals (25th in the league) this season and have allowed 42.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Jacob Markstrom. Over the course of his pro career, Markstrom has earned 225 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .524. His save percentage currently is at .909 for his 25,561 minutes on the ice. Markstrom has seen 12,763 shot attempts against him and has recorded 11,603 total saves. Opponents have notched 1,160 goals versus Markstrom in his career and his average for goals against per game is 2.72. He has compiled a win-loss record of 194-179-56 and he was named the starter in 429 games. Markstrom has taken the ice for 446 matchups during his hockey career.

In their last game, Toronto played the Senators in an outing where the Maple Leafs ended up losing by a final score of 6-3. They had 2 chances on the power play in this contest and scored 1 out of those opportunities. The Maple Leafs recorded 3 goals of the 30 shots on goal they tried.

Toronto has taken 426 shots (2nd in the league) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 10.33%, while allowing their opponents 402 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 71.43% on the other teams 42 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 88.3%. They have earned 43 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 27.91%. The Maple Leafs have earned 32 goals at even strength and 12 goals (8th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have permitted 47 goals to be scored by of a combination of 35 goals at even strength and 12 goals while they were shorthanded. This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 44 goals, 14 points, and a points percentage of .538.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Ilya Samsonov protecting the net. His opponents are averaging 2.71 goals per game and he has allowed 347 goals overall. Samsonov's quality start rate sits at 49.2% and he has 62 quality starts in his professional career. He has been a starter 126 games and his ice time sits at 7,677 mins. Samsonov has accrued a career record of 81-33-15 and has played in 138 games. He has tallied 3,329 stops out of 3,676 shots tried, giving him a percentage of .906.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto (-118) and under 6.5 goals

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