Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 11/4/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Sabres (+160) Maple Leafs (-200)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (5-3-2) will try to beat the Buffalo Sabres (5-5-0) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Buffalo at +160 while Toronto is priced at -200. The total has been set at 7.

The Buffalo Sabres were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 5-2 win against the Flyers their last time out. The Sabres had a good offensive outing and it showed in the victory. In the game, they finished 5 out of the 15 shots they put on net. Moreover, they had 2 chances with extra men on the ice but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Buffalo garnered 6 mins in the box for this contest.

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When playing at even strength, the Sabres have given up 25 goals while scoring 29 themselves. Buffalo Sabres opponents have 40 power play opportunities (5th in professional hockey) and have notched 4 goals in those attempts. In regard to scoring goals, the Buffalo Sabres have racked up 32 goals (12th in the league) for the season and have surrendered 29. Buffalo has attempted 285 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.2%. For the year, they have racked up 10 points and their points percentage sits at .500. The Sabres have seen 313 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .907. Buffalo has accounted for 30 power play opportunities and they have scored 3 goals during those advantages, giving them a percentage of 10.00%.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen. The opposition has scored 161 goals against Luukkonen in his NHL career and his goals against rate is 3.40. Luukkonen has participated in 50 matchups during his professional hockey career. His save percentage sits at .900 in his 2,838 minutes played. He has a win-loss mark of 23-20-6 and got the start in 48 games. Over the course of his time in hockey, Luukkonen has 21 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .438. Luukkonen has had 1,602 shots against him and he has 1,441 total saves.

In their last game, Toronto faced off against the Bruins in a matchup where the Maple Leafs got the tie by a final score of 2-2. The Maple Leafs converted 2 goals of the 35 shots on goal they attempted. They had 2 power play opportunities in this one but weren't able to put one in the back of the net.

The Maple Leafs have accumulated 21 goals at even strength and 10 goals (7th in hockey) while on the power play. Toronto has attempted 334 shots (3rd in the league) and has earned a shooting percentage of 9.28%, while allowing their opponents 303 shots. On the year, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 31 goals, 12 points, and a points percentage of .600. They have granted a total of 30 goals to be scored by way of 22 goals at even strength and 8 goals while they were shorthanded. They have a total of 34 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 29.41%. They have a penalty kill rate of 75.76% on their oppositions 33 power play chances, and their save percentage sits at 90.1%.

On the other side of the ice you are going to see Joseph Woll patrolling the crease. He has recorded 461 saves out of the 496 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save % of .929. Woll has accumulated a lifetime record of 12-4-0 and has been in net for 16 contests. He has been a starter 15 games and has accumulated 941 minutes. Woll's percentage of quality starts sits at 66.7% and he has accumulated 10 quality starting assignments in his hockey career. Teams are averaging 2.23 goals/game and he has yielded 35 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Buffalo (+160)

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