Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 12/3/2022 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Saturday, December 3, 2022

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+118) Lightning (-142)

Amalie Arena is where the Tampa Bay Lightning (14-8-1) will attempt to defeat the Toronto Maple Leafs (15-5-5) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Maple Leafs at +118 and the Lightning are sitting at -142. The over/under is 7.

The Toronto Maple Leafs came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 3-1 win over the Sharks in their last outing. The Maple Leafs had a middle of the road offensive outing in the win. While out there on the ice, they tallied a score on 3 of the 32 shots they put on net. Additionally, they had 3 chances with extra men on the ice but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Toronto garnered 2 mins in the box in this matchup.

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Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 77 power play opportunities (15th in pro hockey) and have a total of 16 goals in those chances. The Maple Leafs have seen 720 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .914. Toronto has taken 763 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.0%. When at even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 46 goals while notching 57 when they are on offense. Toronto has tallied 79 power play opportunities and they have scored 19 goals out of those chances, giving them a rate of 24.05%. For the season, they sit with 35 points and their points % is .700. In the matter of their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have racked up 76 goals (14th in the NHL) for the season and have conceded 62.

The man protecting the net in this game is Matt Murray. Murray has participated in 253 contests during his hockey career. He has earned a mark of 137-79-23 and he has started in 245 games. Opponents have tallied 661 goals against Murray in his career and his goals against average per game is 2.76. Murray has seen 7,489 shots against him and he has 6,828 saves. He has a save percentage of .912 for his 14,371 minutes between the pipes. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Murray has earned 131 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .535.

Their last time out, Tampa Bay faced the Flyers in a game where the Lightning took home the victory by a mark of 4-1. The Lightning tallied 4 goals out of the 27 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 opportunities on the power play in this game and recorded 1 out of those chances.

Tampa Bay has tried 712 shots (20th in the league) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.24%, while allowing the opposition 704 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 77.78% on their opponents 81 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 89.9%. They have recorded 87 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play rate of 28.74%. The Lightning have 55 goals at even strength and 25 goals (3rd in the NHL) while on the power play. They have permitted 71 goals to be scored by way of 53 goals at even strength and 18 goals while they were shorthanded. On the campaign, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accumulated 80 goals, 29 points, in addition to a points percentage of .630.

Across the ice you are likely to see Andrei Vasilevskiy in the crease. Vasilevskiy has amassed a career mark of 238-108-25 and has been in net for 382 contests. Vasilevskiy's quality start rate is 57.0% and he has accumulated 212 quality starting assignments in his career. He has racked up 10,609 stops out of 11,548 shots taken against him, which gives him a save % of .919. The opposition is averaging 2.51 goals per contest and he has yielded 939 goals altogether. He has made the start in 372 games and has played 22,408 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-142)

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