Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 11/11/2022 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Friday, November 11, 2022

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (+150) Maple Leafs (-182)

The Pittsburgh Penguins (5-6-2) are on their way to Scotiabank Arena on Friday where they will try to defeat the Toronto Maple Leafs (7-4-3). The moneyline on this contest has the Penguins at +150 while the Maple Leafs are sitting at -182. The over/under is set at 7.

The Pittsburgh Penguins were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 4-1 victory against the Capitals in their last outing. Pittsburgh had 13 mins in the box in this outing. In addition, they had 3 power play chances but weren't able to score. The Penguins had a good offensive outing and it showed in the victory. For the matchup, they converted 4 of the 28 shots they launched.

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When discussing their scoring, the Pittsburgh Penguins have earned 46 goals (11th in hockey) so far this season and have conceded 45. For the season, they have recorded 12 points and their points percentage sits at .462. Pittsburgh has accounted for 48 power play chances and they have notched 9 goals out of those advantages, giving them a rate of 18.75%. While playing at even strength, the Penguins have conceded 34 goals while earning 37 on the offensive side of the ice. Pittsburgh has taken 459 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.0%. The Penguins thus far have had 443 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .898. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have totaled 45 power play tries (19th in the NHL) and have tallied 11 goals in those chances.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Tristan Jarry. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Jarry has accumulated 97 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .610. He has a save percentage of .914 in his 9,548 minutes played. Jarry has seen 4,849 shots against him and has garnered 4,433 saves. Opponents have been able to score 416 goals versus Jarry in his pro career and his goals against rate is 2.61. He has amassed an overall mark of 97-50-14 and was named the starter in 159 games. Jarry has taken the ice for 167 matchups over the course of his hockey career.

When they were on the ice last, Toronto went up against the Golden Knights in a game where the Maple Leafs took a loss by a mark of 4-3. The Maple Leafs converted 3 goals out of the 31 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 2 power play chances in this contest but didn't score a goal.

Toronto has taken 438 shots (12th in the league) and has a shot percentage of 9.13%, while allowing the other team 383 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 76.00% on their opponents 50 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage is 90.1%. They have a total of 48 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 25.00%. The Maple Leafs have earned 28 goals at even strength and 12 goals (9th in the NHL) while on the power play. They have permitted 38 goals to be scored by way of 26 goals at even strength and 12 goals while they were shorthanded. On the season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned a total of 40 goals, 17 points, in addition to a points percentage of .607.

Across the rink you will find Erik Kallgren patrolling the crease. He has recorded 471 saves out of 530 shots attempted, giving him a percentage of .889. Kallgren is the owner of a lifetime record of 9-5-4 and has played in 20 contests. He has made the start in 17 contests and has accumulated 1,101 minutes. Kallgren's quality start rate is 35.3% and he has accumulated 6 quality starts in his pro career. Teams are averaging 3.22 goals per game and he has surrendered 59 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-182)

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