Winnipeg Jets vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 3/13/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Winnipeg Jets vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Saturday, March 13, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: CBC

Odds/Point Spread: Jets (+161) Maple Leafs (-179)

Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (19-7-2) host the Winnipeg Jets (16-8-2) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. The Maple Leafs open this contest at -179 while the Jets are priced at +161. The over/under has been set at 6.5.

The Jets will need a bounce back game after taking a 4-3 defeat against the Maple Leafs in their last game. The Corsi for the Jets came in at 39 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 67 which had their Corsi percentage coming in at 36.8%. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 37.2% and they had a PDO of 99.8 for this matchup. Winnipeg tallied 4 penalty minutes for this game. The Jets had a middle of the road offensive output in this loss. Their Fenwick was 34 and the Fenwick against was 51, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 40.0%. They accumulated 25 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 33 attempts to take control of the puck. They also had 2 power play tries but didn't convert them into a score. For the game, they tallied a score on 3 of the 27 shots they put on goal.

Winnipeg Jets opponents have 64 power play tries (28th in professional hockey) and have scored 15 goals in those chances. The Jets have had 834 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .910. Winnipeg has tried 763 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.3%. While at even strength, the Jets have surrendered 60 goals while getting 68 themselves. Winnipeg has accounted for 76 power play opportunities and they have notched 18 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 23.68%. For the season, they have 34 points and their points percentage comes in at .654. In regard to their scoring capabilities, the Winnipeg Jets have notched 86 goals (7th in the NHL) for the year and have allowed 75.

The man in goal for this game is Connor Hellebuyck. Opponents have racked up 735 goals versus Hellebuyck in his pro career and his goals against average is 2.65. Hellebuyck has participated in 291 contests throughout his hockey career. He has a save percentage of .916 in his 16,646 mins on the ice. He has amassed an overall record of 160-92-24 and he has started in 282 games. In his professional hockey career, Hellebuyck has 152 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .539. Hellebuyck has had 8,800 shots against him and he has 8,065 saves.

In their win over Winnipeg, the Maple Leafs PDO at even strength was 100 and their oZS percentage was 62.8%. They had 1 power play opportunity in this game but weren't able to notch a goal. They had a Fenwick percentage of 60.0% by amassing a Fenwick of 51 and the Jets having earned a 34 Fenwick at even strength. The Maple Leafs had 4 goals out of the 38 shots on goal they pursued. Toronto had a 63.2% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Toronto had and they played a solid game.

Toronto has attempted 861 shots (6th in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 11.27%, while allowing the opposition 796 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 77.22% on the other teams 79 power play chances, and their save percentage currently comes in at 91.2%. They have a tally of 83 chances on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 31.33%. The Maple Leafs have accumulated 71 goals at even strength and 26 goals (2nd in the league) while on the power play. They have permitted 70 goals to be scored by of a combination of 52 goals at even strength and 18 goals while they had less men on the ice. For the season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned a total of 97 goals, 40 points, as well as a points percentage of .714.

Across the rink you are going to see Frederik Andersen protecting the goal. Andersen has compiled a career record of 226-97-47 and has played in 389 games. Andersen's percentage of quality starts comes out to 57.4% and he has made 217 quality starting assignments in his hockey career. He has accrued 10,683 stops out of the 11,665 shots taken, which gives him a percentage of .916. Opponents are averaging 2.63 goals per contest and he has conceded 982 goals overall. He got the starting nod in 378 games and has racked up 22,371 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-179)

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