Winnipeg Jets vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 3/11/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Winnipeg Jets vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Thursday, March 11, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: TSN4

Odds/Point Spread: Jets (+158) Maple Leafs (-175)

Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (18-7-2) host the Winnipeg Jets (16-8-1) at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Jets coming in at +158 and the Maple Leafs are at -175. The over/under is set at 6.5.

The Jets were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4-3 victory over the Maple Leafs the last time they stepped on the ice. The Jets had a impressive offensive performance in the win. In the game, they converted 4 of the 23 shots they tried. Moreover, they had 2 power play chances and were able to score 1 goal. Winnipeg accrued 4 penalty minutes in this game. The Corsi for the Jets was 34 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 63 which had their Corsi percentage coming in at 35.1%. Their Fenwick came in at 32 and the Fenwick against was 50, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 39.0%. They recorded 13 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 27 attempts to win the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 41.7% and they had a PDO at even strength of 108.9 for this one.

Concerning their goal scoring prowess, the Winnipeg Jets have accumulated 83 goals (6th in the league) on the season and have conceded 71. For the current season, they have earned 33 points and their points percentage comes in at .660. Winnipeg has tallied 74 power play opportunities and they have scored 18 goals during those chances, garnering them a rate of 24.32%. While playing at even strength, the Jets have conceded 56 goals while earning 65 on the offensive side of the ice. Winnipeg has tried 736 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.3%. The Jets have had 796 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .911. Winnipeg Jets opponents have amassed 63 power play tries (28th in pro hockey) and have scored 15 goals in those chances.

The player in the crease for this game is Connor Hellebuyck. Hellebuyck has participated in 290 contests during his professional hockey career. He has a mark of 160-92-23 and he has gotten the start in 281 games. The opposition has racked up 731 goals against Hellebuyck in his NHL career and his goals against rate is 2.64. Hellebuyck has seen 8,762 shot attempts taken against him and has gathered 8,031 saves. He has a save percentage of .917 during his 16,585 minutes played. Over the course of his pro career, Hellebuyck is sitting with 152 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .541.

In their loss to the Jets, the Maple Leafs PDO was 91 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 58.7%. They had 2 power play attempts in this matchup and earned 1 out of those chances. Their Fenwick rate came in at 61.0% by earning a Fenwick of 50 and the Jets having earned a 32 Fenwick. The Maple Leafs tallied 3 goals out of the 39 shots on goal they attempted. Toronto wound up with a 64.9% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Toronto had and you might say they have had worse games.

Toronto has tried 823 shots (5th in hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 11.30%, while allowing the other team 769 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 76.62% on the other teams 77 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently sits at 91.3%. They have recorded 82 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 31.71%. The Maple Leafs have accumulated 67 goals at even strength and 26 goals (1st in pro hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have permitted 67 goals to be scored by way of 49 goals at even strength and 18 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the campaign, the Toronto Maple Leafs have notched a total of 93 goals, 38 points, in addition to a points percentage of .704.

Across the rink you are expected to see Frederik Andersen patrolling the crease. His opponents are averaging 2.63 goals/game and he has surrendered 979 goals altogether. Andersen's quality start percentage is 57.6% and he has 217 quality starting assignments in his pro hockey career. He has made the start in 377 games and has racked up 22,310 minutes. Andersen has accumulated a lifetime record of 225-97-47 and has been in net for 388 games. He has compiled 10,659 stops out of the 11,638 shots attempted, which gives him a save percentage of .916.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Winnipeg (+158)

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