Winnipeg Jets vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 4/12/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Winnipeg Jets vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Monday, April 12, 2021

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Jets (-188) Senators (+155)

Matt Murray and the Ottawa Senators (13-25-4) play the Winnipeg Jets (25-13-3) at Canadian Tire Centre on Monday. The line on this matchup has the Jets coming in at -188 and the Senators are at +155. The over/under is set at 6.5.

The Jets were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 5-0 victory over the Canadiens in the last game they played. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 35.6% and they had a PDO of 115.8 for this one. They accounted for 15 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 15 opportunities to gain puck control. Their Fenwick came in at 27 and the Fenwick against finished at 18, meaning the had a Fenwick percentage of 60.0%. The Corsi for the Jets was sitting at 39 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 31 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 55.7%. Winnipeg garnered 27 penalty mins for this game. Moreover, they had 5 power play chances and were able to net 2 goals. The Jets had a good offensive performance in the win. In the outing, they converted 5 of the 25 shots they looked to score on.

The Jets have had 1,276 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .916. When playing at even strength, the Jets have surrendered 87 goals while having 103 themselves. Winnipeg Jets opponents have earned 105 power play opportunities (28th in hockey) and have come away with 20 goals in those attempts. For the current campaign, they have 53 points and their points percentage is sitting at .646. Winnipeg has taken 1,221 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 11.0%. In terms of scoring goals, the Winnipeg Jets have earned 134 goals (6th in hockey) this year and have allowed 107. Winnipeg is sitting with 120 power play chances and they have added 31 goals during those chances, giving them a percentage of 25.83%.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Connor Hellebuyck. Hellebuyck has taken the ice for 303 matchups throughout his pro hockey career. He has accumulated a mark of 168-95-25 and was named the starter in 294 games. The opposition has racked up 757 goals against Hellebuyck in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.62. Hellebuyck has had 9,164 shots taken against him and has gathered 8,407 saves. He has a save percentage of .917 during his 17,366 mins played. Over the course of his time in hockey, Hellebuyck has recorded 161 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .548.

When they took the ice last, Ottawa went up against the Maple Leafs in a matchup where the Senators went home in defeat by a tally of 6-5. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this one and scored 1 out of those chances. The Senators had 5 goals out of the 32 shots on goal they were seeking. They had a PDO of 93 and their oZS percentage was 40.7%. Ottawa went home with a 43.0% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Ottawa had and it tells us that they played really well in this game. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 43.0% by way of having a Fenwick of 34 and the Maple Leafs having accrued a 45 Fenwick at even strength.

Ottawa has tried 1,316 shots (3rd in the league) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 8.36%, while allowing their opponents 1,377 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 76.19% on their oppositions 126 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage is 88.5%. They have earned 131 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 15.27%. The Senators have earned 90 goals at even strength and 20 goals (26th in the league) while on the power play. They have allowed 158 goals to be scored by way of 128 goals at even strength and 30 goals while they were shorthanded. On the year, the Ottawa Senators have earned a total of 110 goals, 30 points, in addition to a points percentage of .357.

Across the ice you will find Matt Murray defending the net. Murray has amassed a career record of 124-65-20 and has been in net for 221 games. Murray's quality start rate is 51.2% and he has made 109 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has a tally of 5,907 saves out of the 6,485 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save % of .911. Teams are averaging 2.77 goals/game and he has surrendered 578 goals overall. He has been a starter 213 contests and has played for a total of 12,507 mins.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Ottawa (+155) and under 6.5 goals

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