Winnipeg Jets vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 3/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Winnipeg Jets vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Thursday, March 4, 2021

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: TSN2

Odds/Point Spread: Jets (+125) Canadiens (-150)

Connor Hellebuyck and the Winnipeg Jets (14-7-1) go to Bell Centre on Thursday where they'll meet the Montreal Canadiens (10-6-5). The Jets open this matchup at +125 while the Canadiens are priced at -150. The O/U opens at 6.5.

The Jets were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 5-2 victory over the Canucks their last time out. The Corsi for the Jets came in at 59 and the Corsi against was 50 which means they had a Corsi rate of 54.1%. Their offensive zone starts were at 59.7% and they had a PDO at even strength of 107.3 in this game. Winnipeg had 6 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Jets had a impressive offensive outing in the win. Their Fenwick came in at 45 and the Fenwick against was 37, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 54.9%. They accumulated 19 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 23 attempts to take control of the puck. Additionally, they had 3 opportunities with more players on the ice and scored 1 goal. In the matchup, they tallied a score on 5 out of the 39 shots they looked to score on.

With respect to scoring goals, the Winnipeg Jets have accounted for 74 goals (3rd in the league) on the campaign and have allowed 58. For the current season, they have tallied 29 points and their points percentage is .659. Winnipeg is sitting with 68 power play opportunities and they have added 16 goals out of those tries, garnering them a rate of 23.53%. When playing at even strength, the Jets have allowed 45 goals while getting 58 themselves. Winnipeg has attempted 657 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.3%. The Jets have had 693 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .916. Winnipeg Jets opponents have recorded 59 power play tries (26th in hockey) and have scored 13 goals in those chances.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Connor Hellebuyck. Hellebuyck has been involved in 287 contests during his hockey career. He has amassed a record of 158-91-23 and he has gotten the start in 278 games. Opponents have been able to score 721 goals versus Hellebuyck in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 2.63. Hellebuyck has seen 8,668 shot attempts against him and he has 7,947 saves. His save percentage is .917 for his 16,426 minutes guarding the cage. During his career on the ice, Hellebuyck has accumulated 150 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .540.

Their last time out, Montreal played the Senators in an outing where the Canadiens ended up with the win by a score of 3-1. They had 3 opportunities on the power play in this one and tallied 2 out of those opportunities. The Canadiens tallied 3 goals out of the 33 shots on goal they attempted. Their PDO was 100 and their oZS percentage was 60.6%. Montreal earned a 59.1% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Montreal had and you could say that they didn't play great, but weren't awful either. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 52.5% with a Fenwick of 31 and the Senators having racked up a 28 Fenwick.

The Canadiens are sitting with 55 goals at even strength and 13 goals (19th in the league) while on the power play. Montreal has attempted 708 shots (5th in professional hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 9.60%, while allowing the other team 608 shots. For the season, the Montreal Canadiens have a total of 68 goals, 25 points, as well as a points percentage of .595. They have a tally of 62 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 20.97%. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 76.83% on the other teams 82 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 90.3%. They have granted a total of 59 goals to be scored by way of 40 goals at even strength and 19 goals while they were shorthanded.

Across the rink you are likely to see Carey Price patrolling the crease. Price holds a lifetime mark of 354-254-77 and has participated in 695 games. Price's quality start rate sits at 57.2% and he has 391 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has accrued 18,906 stops out of the 20,617 shots taken against him, giving him a save % of .917. The opposition is averaging 2.50 goals per contest and he has given up 1,711 goals in total. He has been a starter 683 contests and has been on the ice for 41,017 mins.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Winnipeg (+125)

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