Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 3/11/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Thursday, March 11, 2021

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Capitals (+101) Flyers (-111)

Ilya Samsonov and the Washington Capitals (15-6-4) are headed to Wells Fargo Center on Thursday where they'll take on the Philadelphia Flyers (13-7-3). The Flyers open this game at -111 while the Capitals are coming in at +101. The over/under opens at 6.

The Capitals went home feeling good about their game by earning a 5-4 victory against the Devils in their last contest. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 76.1% and they had a PDO at even strength of 100.0 for this game. They totaled 29 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 33 opportunities to win the puck. Their Fenwick was 37 and the Fenwick Against sat at 30, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 55.2%. The Corsi for the Capitals was sitting at 52 and the Corsi against when all was said and done was 39 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 57.1%. Washington recorded 6 penalty mins for this game. They also had 2 chances with the advantage and scored 1 goal. The Capitals had a great offensive game plan going into this one and it showed in the win. While out there on the ice, they tallied a score on 5 of the 30 shots they put on goal.

With respect to their goal scoring prowess, the Washington Capitals have accumulated 82 goals (7th in the league) so far this season and have conceded 78. For the year, they have 34 points and their points percentage comes in at .680. Washington has tallied 63 power play chances and they have tallied 17 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 26.98%. While at even strength, the Capitals have allowed 64 goals while notching 65 themselves. Washington has tried 723 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.3%. The Capitals have had 743 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .895. Washington Capitals opponents have 81 power play opportunities (13th in hockey) and have scored 14 goals in those attempts.

The man protecting the net in this game is Ilya Samsonov. Samsonov has been in goal for 31 matchups during his professional hockey career. He has a win-loss mark of 19-6-3 and he has gotten the start in 26 games. Opponents have racked up 71 goals versus Samsonov in his pro career and his average for goals against per game is 2.54. Samsonov has had 807 shot attempts against him and has gathered 736 saves. He has a save percentage of .912 in his 1,680 mins in the crease. In his career, Samsonov is sitting with 14 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .538.

In their last game, Philadelphia faced off against the Sabres in an outing where the Flyers got the win by a final of 5-4. They had 4 power play attempts in this game and tallied 1 out of those opportunities. The Flyers scored 5 goals of the 33 shots on goal they pursued. Their PDO was 89 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 55.0%. Philadelphia wound up with a 66.3% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Philadelphia played and it was an excellent showing for this outing. Their Fenwick rate was 63.2% by amassing a Fenwick of 43 and the Sabres finishing with a 25 Fenwick at even strength.

This season, the Philadelphia Flyers have earned 75 goals, 29 points, as well as a points percentage of .630. They have granted a total of 71 goals to be scored by of a combination of 51 goals at even strength and 20 goals while they were shorthanded. The Flyers are sitting with 60 goals at even strength and 15 goals (20th in the league) while having more men on the ice. They have earned 82 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 18.29%. Philadelphia has taken 634 shots (30th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 11.83%, while allowing their opponents 708 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 72.97% on the other teams 74 tries on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 90.0%.

Across the ice you will find Carter Hart in the crease. Opponents are averaging 2.76 goals/game and he has given up 225 goals altogether. Hart's rate of quality starts is 54.1% and he has made 46 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has been a starter 85 games and has played for a total of 4,888 mins. Hart holds a lifetime record of 46-31-7 and has played in 89 contests. He has recorded 2,289 stops out of the 2,514 shots attempted, giving him a percentage of .911.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-111) and under 6 goals

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