Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers Prediction, 5/5/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers

Date: Wednesday, May 5, 2021

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Capitals (-113) Rangers (-107)

Ilya Samsonov and the Washington Capitals (33-14-5) are headed to Madison Square Garden on Wednesday where they'll take on the New York Rangers (26-21-6). The Capitals open this contest at -113 while the Rangers are coming in at -107. The over/under opens at 5.5.

The Capitals were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 6-3 victory against the Rangers in their previous game. The Corsi for the Capitals was 48 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 34 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 58.5%. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 44.8% and they had a PDO at even strength of 107.0 for this matchup. Washington recorded 10 penalty minutes for this matchup. The Capitals had a solid offensive performance and it showed in this win. Their Fenwick came in at 42 and the Fenwick against finished at 28, meaning the had a Fenwick percentage of 60.0%. They earned 25 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 20 attempts to gain puck control. In addition, they had 1 power play opportunity but didn't net one. For the game, they tallied a score on 6 of the 40 shots they put on net.

With regard to scoring goals, the Washington Capitals have notched 178 goals (2nd in pro hockey) this year and have given up 153. For the season, they have recorded 71 points and their points percentage is sitting at .683. Washington has compiled 138 power play opportunities and they have scored 36 goals during those advantages, giving them a rate of 26.09%. When at even strength, the Capitals have allowed the opponent to score 127 goals while notching 142 themselves. Washington has attempted 1,510 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 11.8%. The Capitals have had 1,508 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .899. Washington Capitals opponents have 155 power play opportunities (12th in the NHL) and have scored 26 goals in those attempts.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Ilya Samsonov. The opposition has scored 109 goals versus Samsonov in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.61. Samsonov has been involved in 45 contests throughout his hockey career. He has a save percentage of .908 for his 2,504 mins between the pipes. He has compiled an overall mark of 29-10-3 and he was named the starter in 40 games. In his professional hockey career, Samsonov has accrued 19 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .475. Samsonov has had 1,188 shot attempts against him and has garnered 1,079 total saves.

In their loss to Washington, the Rangers PDO was 93 and their oZS percentage was 55.2%. They had 4 power play chances in this outing and scored 1 out of those opportunities. Their Fenwick rate came in at 40.0% by tallying a Fenwick of 28 and the Capitals having accrued a 42 Fenwick. The Rangers scored 3 goals of the 26 shots on goal they took. New York earned a 41.5% Corsi rating. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that New York had and you might say they looked run of the mill in this one.

New York has taken 1,548 shots (15th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 10.92%, while allowing the other team 1,556 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 83.23% on their oppositions 155 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 90.8%. They have a total of 175 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 21.14%. The Rangers have racked up 132 goals at even strength and 37 goals (6th in hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have granted a total of 143 goals to be scored by of a combination of 117 goals at even strength and 26 goals while they were shorthanded. For the year, the New York Rangers have a total of 169 goals, 58 points, in addition to a points percentage of .547.

On the other side of the ice you will find Igor Shesterkin in the crease. His opponents are averaging 2.52 goals per game and he has conceded 106 goals in total. Shesterkin's quality start percentage comes out to 66.7% and he has accumulated 28 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He got the starting nod in 42 games and his ice time sits at 2,520 mins. Shesterkin holds a career record of 25-15-3 and has played in 45 contests. He has recorded 1,262 saves out of the 1,368 shots tried, which gives him a rate of .923.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take New York (-107)

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