Washington Capitals vs Florida Panthers Prediction, 11/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Capitals vs Florida Panthers

Date: Thursday, November 4, 2021

Location: FLA Live Arena in Sunrise, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Capitals (+225) Panthers (+145)

Sergei Bobrovsky and the Florida Panthers host the Washington Capitals at FLA Live Arena on Thursday. The Panthers open this matchup at +145 while the Capitals are priced at +225. The over/under is set at 5.5.

The Capitals were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 3-2 defeat to the Lightning in the last game they played. The Corsi for the Capitals was 38 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 33 which means they had a Corsi rate of 53.5%. Their offensive zone starts sat at 69.6% and they had a PDO at even strength of 93.2 for this matchup. Washington accumulated 10 mins in the box for this matchup. The Capitals had an offensive game that was below their expectations in the loss. Their Fenwick was 32 and the Fenwick against finished at 24, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 57.1%. They earned 18 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 21 attempts to gain puck control. They also had 4 chances with extra men on the ice and scored 1 goal. In the game, they earned a goal on 2 of the 33 shots they launched.

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Washington Capitals opponents have earned 26 power play tries (20th in the league) and have scored 6 goals in those chances. The Capitals have had 232 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .905. Washington has tried 276 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.6%. While playing at even strength, the Capitals have surrendered 16 goals while having 25 themselves. Washington has 35 power play opportunities and they have added 7 goals out of those attempts, earning them a percentage of 20.00%. For the year, they sit with 13 points and their points percentage is .722. Regarding their scoring capabilities, the Washington Capitals have accounted for 32 goals (5th in pro hockey) on the campaign and have allowed 22.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Vitek Vanecek. Vanecek has been involved in 43 contests over the course of his NHL career. He has a record of 23-11-6 and he has started in 42 games. Opponents have been able to score 108 goals versus Vanecek in his professional hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.66. Vanecek has had 1,169 shots against him and he has 1,061 saves. His save percentage is at .908 for his 2,440 mins between the pipes. Over the course of his career, Vanecek has accrued 21 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .500.

In their last contest, Florida faced off against the Bruins in a game where the Panthers ended up losing by a final score of 3-2. They had 1 opportunity on the power play in this game and converted 1 goal on that chance. The Panthers scored 2 goals of the 35 shots on goal they took. They had a PDO at even strength of 99 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 63.6%. Florida earned a 52.7% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Florida played and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. Their Fenwick rate was 55.1% with a Fenwick of 38 and the Bruins ending the game with a 31 Fenwick.

On the season, the Florida Panthers have notched a total of 36 goals, 17 points, in addition to a points percentage of .944. They have permitted 17 goals to be scored by of a combination of 12 goals at even strength and 5 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Panthers are sitting with 30 goals at even strength and 6 goals (13th in the NHL) while on the power play. They have recorded 30 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 20.00%. Florida has taken 305 shots (8th in professional hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 11.80%, while allowing the opposition 283 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 86.11% on their opponents 36 chances on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 94.0%.

Across the rink you are going to see Sergei Bobrovsky in the crease. Bobrovsky has accrued a lifetime mark of 303-180-45 and has participated in 544 games. Bobrovsky's quality start rate sits at 57.0% and he has 302 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has compiled 14,669 saves out of 16,001 shots attempted against him, giving him a save percentage of .917. His opposition is averaging 2.55 goals per game and he has yielded 1,332 goals in total. He has started in 530 games and has been on the ice for 31,358 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Washington (+225)

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