Washington Capitals vs Boston Bruins Prediction, 4/11/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Capitals vs Boston Bruins

Date: Sunday, April 11, 2021

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Capitals (-105) Bruins (-125)

TD Garden is the site where Daniel Vladar and the Boston Bruins (21-10-6) will take on the Washington Capitals (26-11-4) on Sunday. The Capitals open this matchup at -105 while the Bruins are priced at -125. The total is set at 5.5.

The Capitals were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 4-3 win over the Sabres the last time they stepped on the ice. The Capitals played really well in the win. In the game, they were able to notch a goal on 4 out of the 33 shots they looked to score on. Furthermore, they had 1 power play opportunity but weren't able to convert it into a goal. Washington tallied 2 mins in the box for this contest. The Corsi for the Capitals was sitting at 52 and the Corsi against was at 54 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 49.1%. Their Fenwick was 40 and the Fenwick against was 40, meaning the had a Fenwick percentage of 50.0%. They earned 21 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 27 attempts to gain puck control. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 48.1% and they had a PDO at even strength of 104.1 in this one.

The Capitals have had 1,205 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .898. While playing at even strength, the Capitals let the opposition score 102 goals while having 111 on the offensive side of the ice. Washington Capitals opponents have earned 124 power play opportunities (13th in the league) and have scored 21 goals in those attempts. For the season, they have recorded 56 points and their points % is .683. Washington has attempted 1,150 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 11.8%. In relation to their scoring capabilities, the Washington Capitals have notched 136 goals (4th in the National Hockey League) on the year and have allowed 123. Washington comes into the game with 104 power play chances and they have notched 25 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a rate of 24.04%.

The player between the pipes for this game is Ilya Samsonov. Over the course of his career, Samsonov is sitting with 18 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .514. His save percentage currently is at .906 for his 2,199 minutes between the pipes. Samsonov has seen 1,057 shots against him and he has 958 saves. Opponents have scored 99 goals against Samsonov in his career and his goals against average per game is 2.70. He has amassed a mark of 25-9-3 and he was named the starter in 35 games. Samsonov has been in goal for 40 games over the course of his professional hockey career.

Their last time out, Boston went up against the Capitals in an outing where the Bruins took home the win by a score of 4-2. They had a PDO of 108 and their oZS percentage was 42.8%. They had 4 power play attempts in this matchup and recorded 1 out of those attempts. Their Fenwick rate came in at 53.7% by way of having a Fenwick of 36 and the Capitals having notched a 31 Fenwick. The Bruins recorded 4 goals of the 32 shots on goal they took. Boston wrapped up this game with a 48.3% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Boston had and we'd say they played well overall.

Boston has tried 1,187 shots (18th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 8.68%, while allowing their opponents 1,026 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 87.70% on their oppositions 122 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently comes in at 91.1%. They have recorded 112 power play chances and they have earned a power play rate of 24.11%. The Bruins have tallied 76 goals at even strength and 27 goals (13th in the league) while having more men on the ice. They have granted a total of 91 goals to be scored by way of 76 goals at even strength and 15 goals while they were shorthanded. So far this season, the Boston Bruins have 103 goals, 48 points, in addition to a points percentage of .649.

For the opposition you will find Daniel Vladar defending the goal. His opposition is averaging 2.25 goals per game and he has surrendered 9 goals altogether. Vladar's quality start rate comes out to 50.0% and he has 2 quality starts in his career. He has been a starter 4 contests and has played for a total of 240 mins. Vladar has accumulated a lifetime mark of 2-1-1 and has played in 4 games. He has recorded 107 saves out of the 116 shots taken against him, giving him a rate of .922.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Boston (-125)

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