Vegas Golden Knights vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 11/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Vegas Golden Knights vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Thursday, November 4, 2021

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Golden Knights (+150) Senators (+205)

Anton Forsberg and the Ottawa Senators host the Vegas Golden Knights at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday. The Golden Knights open this matchup at +150 while the Senators are coming in at +205. The O/U opens at 6.

The Golden Knights will look to clean up some issues after taking a 4-0 defeat to the Maple Leafs in their previous game. The Golden Knights left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in this loss. In the game, they walked away having not converted any of the 26 shots they put on net. Moreover, they had 3 chances with extra men on the ice but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Vegas accrued 6 mins in the box in this outing. The Corsi for the Golden Knights sat at 41 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 56 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 42.3%. Their Fenwick came in at 30 and the Fenwick against was 36, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 45.5%. They totaled 20 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 22 opportunities to take control of the puck. Their offensive zone starts sat at 32.1% and they had a PDO of 89.3 in this one.

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The Golden Knights have had 307 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .902. At even strength, the Golden Knights let the opposition score 26 goals while earning 20 as an offensive unit. Vegas Golden Knights opponents have tallied 20 power play tries (31st in professional hockey) and have scored 4 goals in those chances. For the current campaign, they have 8 points and their points percentage is sitting at .444. Vegas has attempted 297 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 6.7%. In regard to their goal scoring prowess, the Vegas Golden Knights have accumulated 20 goals (28th in the NHL) so far this year and have given up 30. Vegas comes into the game with 18 power play opportunities and they have notched 0 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a rate of 0.00%.

The man protecting the net in this game is Robin Lehner. Opponents have been able to score 833 goals against Lehner in his professional career and his goals against average per contest is 2.70. Lehner has been involved in 328 games during his NHL career. His save percentage currently sits at .918 for his 18,495 mins guarding the cage. He has accumulated an overall mark of 132-129-47 and got the start in 309 games. Over the course of his career, Lehner has accrued 174 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .563. Lehner has had 10,098 shots against him and has recorded 9,265 total saves.

In their last outing, Ottawa played the Wild in an outing where the Senators took the loss by a final of 5-4. They had 4 opportunities on the power play in this game and notched 1 goal out of those attempts. The Senators netted 4 goals of the 28 shots on goal they pursued. They had a PDO at even strength of 105 and their percentage of oZS was 34.9%. Ottawa wound up with a 30.2% Corsi rate. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Ottawa played and it was an excellent showing for this outing. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 33.8% by earning a Fenwick of 25 and the Wild finishing with a 49 Fenwick at even strength.

Ottawa has taken 262 shots (24th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 9.16%, while allowing their opponents 305 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 73.08% on their opponents 26 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 90.2%. They have earned 30 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play rate of 23.33%. The Senators have earned 17 goals at even strength and 7 goals (12th in hockey) while on the power play. They have allowed 30 goals to be scored by of a combination of 23 goals at even strength and 7 goals while they were shorthanded. For the year, the Ottawa Senators have accumulated 24 goals, 7 points, as well as a points percentage of .389.

Across the ice you are going to see Anton Forsberg between the pipes. Forsberg is the owner of a career mark of 16-31-5 and has been in goal for 60 games. Forsberg's quality start rate comes out to 43.4% and he has made 23 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has a tally of 1,471 saves out of 1,632 shots taken against him, giving him a save % of .901. Opponents are averaging 3.29 goals per contest and he has conceded 161 goals altogether. He was named a starter in 53 games and his ice time sits at 2,937 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Vegas (+150)

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